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Tea with AK71: Visit a sky garden.

Saturday, October 15, 2011

In the last few years, sky gardens have become the rage or at least I think so. Many condominiums also have sky gardens these days and they are apparently good selling points.

The very enterprising Marina Bay Sands even charge a fee to enter their sky garden (aka SkyPark) which is probably the tallest one in Singapore at 200m above ground. Personally, I wouldn't bother paying $20 just to gain entrance.

If we want to experience a sky garden, try the one at the National Library in Bugis. I was there recently and I really like it. No entrance fee too.

I like this. Creepers growing up some pillars which reminds me of a jungle.

Pandan! This spot smells really nice and will probably stay roach free!

If you like nature but are asthmatic like me, you will like this place.

I used to have a pot of Aloe Vera at home, if you remember. ;)

Open seven days a week, this is one sky garden all of us can enjoy for free.
A view of the Hotel Inter-Continental and Illuma Shopping Mall from the garden.
Go visit and see for yourself. Have a good weekend. :)
P.S. All photos taken with my trusty Samsung mobile phone, which, by the way, is also free, or have I said this before? ;)

You might want to read these:

Cambridge Industrial Trust: Worth another look.

Friday, October 14, 2011


I was looking at Cambridge Industrial Trust's latest presentation slides. It could be worth another look as its income could bump up quite meaningfully in 2012 and 2013.

Latest numbers:
Gearing: 33.1%
(No refinancing due till 2014.)
NTA/unit: 61.7c
Interest cover ratio: 5.1x
DPU: 1.082c

What I find attractive:
1. Built-To-Suit Project at Tuas View Circuit. Completion by 3Q 2012.
2. Built-To-Suit Project at Seletar Aerospace Park. Completion by 3Q 2013.
3. AEI for 30 Toh Guan Road. Completion by 4Q 2012.
4. AEI for 88 International Road. Completion by 4Q 2013.
5. AEI for 4 & 6 Clementi Loop. Completion by 4Q 2012.
6. Proposed acquisition of 25 Pioneer Crescent.


With gearing level at 33.1%, the Trust has ample debt headroom to finance items 1 to 5 if the management should decide to take on more debt. This would mean greater distribution yield accretion.

Item 6 is to be financed with internal cash resources which means gearing level will not go up and the purchase will be distribution yield accretive, everything else remaining equal.

Buying now at 46c per unit will give a distribution yield of about 9.4%. Even with all the initiatives announced, I would like to see this yield going nearer to 10% before increasing my investment in the Trust.

See presentation slides here.

Capitaland, CapitaMalls Asia and NOL: Closing charts.

Thursday, October 13, 2011

CAPITALAND

Volume increased over the last session but the bulls were not strong enough to have the share price close above the 50dMA. Closing at $2.52 is where we find resistance provided by the declining 50dMA.



Although price did touch a high of $2.56, forming a white spinning top suggests indecision and is a sign of weakness.

The counter has, in the meantime, broken out of its immediate downtrend. Immediate support is provided by the flat 20dMA at $2.49.

CAPITAMALLS ASIA

CapitaMalls Asia's chart looks more promising. Another white candle was formed today on higher volume. $1.25 could be resistance turned support.


Further upward movement in price could see the gap at $1.33 filled. Immediate support is at $1.25.

NOL

Although a black candle was formed today on relatively higher volume, there is reason to be optimistic. Why?


The decline in price only travelled halfway down the white candle from the previous day. This suggests that the bears were lacking in conviction and there were enough buyers to keep the share price from falling too much.

A decline to immediate support at $1.125 could see more buying momentum.

CapitaMalls Asia: Watch the 50dMA.

The MACD has formed a higher low together with a higher low in share price last week. Momentum has clearly improved and we could have found a floor here, if not the bottom.


Closing at $1.25 in the last session meant that the resistance provided by the declining 50dMA was still valid. This morning, thus far, price action is flirting with this MA.

Could we see the share price closing above the 50dMA today? If it does, the 50dMA could be resistance turned support and price could go higher to test resistance provided by the declining 100dMA. This could be another good trade.

Capitaland: Positive divergence.

Capitaland spots a positive divergence. As price formed a new low on 4 Oct, it is clear a few sessions later that the MACD has formed a higher low. The MACD is a lagging indicator just like other momentum oscillators. So, things are usually clearer a few sessions later. Acting before a clearer picture forms would be to pre-empt.

That the MACD formed a bullish crossover with the signal line in negative territory also suggests the return of buying interest although not strong enough to send the MACD into positive territory. Coupled with the positive divergence, we could see Capitaland's share price moving higher.



A long white candle was formed in the last session as resistance provided by the 20dMA was overcome convincingly. Share price is currently resisted by the declining 50dMA which is at $2.52. If this were to be broken, I believe bulls will return and bears will cover their shorts.  We could then see the share price rising to test resistance provided by the declining 100dMA which approximates $2.71 which is also a potential double bottom neckline.

Could be quite a rewarding trade for breakout traders if a breakout should materialise.

NOL: Found a floor.

It seems to me that NOL's share price has found a floor, if not the bottom.

If we were to draw a trendline connecting the highs since 5 Jan 11, it is obvious that the long term downtrend remains intact. This trendline approximates the declining 100dMA which makes this the MA to watch. Then, why do I say the share price has found a floor?


Looking at the MACD, we see that it has been rising since hitting a low in late August. In the last session, it broke into positive territory which signifies the return of positive momentum.

The last three sessions also saw the share price trading above the 50dMA, suggesting that this MA could be resistance turned support. This is approximately at $1.125. If this support holds strong, we could see price rising to test resistance provided by the 100dMA which approximates $1.30.

Given the circumstances, buying closer to support could be a good idea for a trade.

ARA: Divested at $1.26 and $1.30.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Trading volume for ARA expanded today, being the highest in six sessions, which helped to form a long wickless white candle. This is the most bullish of candles. Could we see its share price climbing higher tomorrow? We could.


However, I have completely divested my long position in ARA and would not be able to benefit from further appreciation in its share price, if any. Completely? Yes. My overnight sell orders at $1.26 and $1.30 were both filled today. So, does it mean that I believe that ARA's share price has peaked for now? I don't know if it has peaked but I feel that it is nearing a longer term and, most likely, stronger resistance.


Longer term resistance? Connecting the highs of 31 May, 1 Aug and 1 Sep will give us a clear trendline which approximates the declining 50dMA which is at $1.32 thereabouts. If this resistance could be overcome, we could see the counter's share price moving higher. Otherwise, it would retrace to supports.


I simply followed my TA (for what it is worth) and divested as the gap at $1.26 was filled and at $1.30 which is just one bid away from gap fill at $1.305. The latter was filled after the market closed at 5.04pm.

Good luck to all who are still vested.

Related post:
ARA: Partial divestment at $1.18.

Tea with AK71: A short fairy tale!

I would like to share this fairy tale (which could be a reality for some of us):


Thanks to a cboxer, Patty, for sharing this with me.

I hope you enjoyed it as much as I did. ;-p

ARA: Partial divestment at $1.18.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

On 7 October, I said in a blog post that the 61.8% Fibo line "approximates $1.18 and this is also where gap close could take place if the resistance at $1.16 could be taken out convincingly". My overnight sell order at $1.18 was filled.


Closing at $1.205 is exactly where we find the declining 20dMA today. This also coincides with the declining trendline connecting the tops of 1, 9 and 21 Sep. So, it explains why it was such a strong resistance.


With the MACD forming a bullish crossover with the signal line in negative territory, we could see a continuation of this rebound. A necessary condition would be higher volume if price should attempt to push higher. Notice how volume has reduced as price inched higher in recent sessions. This is most probably unsustainable.

Overcoming resistance at $1.205 in the next session convincingly could see buyers piling back into the stock which could then see gap closing at $1.26 and perhaps even at $1.305. The latter is still possible since the declining 50dMA approximates $1.32 and provides some breathing room.


Related post:
ARA: Partial divestment at $1.155.

Courage Marine: Bought more at 10c per share.

For a while, it looked as if a double top was forming in the Baltic Dry Index (BDI). Well, the potential double top formation has been negated as the BDI broke resistance and looks set to form a higher high.



As most of Courage Marine's business is on a per trip basis and at spot rate, a higher BDI is good news for the company. If the BDI continues to rise into winter, it could turn out to be quite a good quarter for Courage Marine and it looks like it could happen.


Bloomberg reported earlier in the year that freight rates are poised to rise after hitting a two year low as owners of ships carrying coal and iron ore scrapped the most vessels in 28 years. Indeed, Courage Marine recently sold one of its vessels to be scrapped as well. Also, Malaysian Bulker Carrier predicted that the dry bulk market could do well in the medium term due to Japan increasing imports of coal.


Technically, the MACD has been rising since plunging to a low in negative territory in mid August 2011. Although momentum is still negative, the rising MACD suggests that momentum is improving.

If we believe that Courage Marine's share price is currently range bound without any trend, looking at the Stochastics reveals that momentum is closer to the lower end of the range, although not oversold. Any further upward movement in price could find initial resistance at 11c while support is at 9.5c.

Related posts:
1. Courage Marine: Added at 10.5c per share.
2. Double dip recession or just very slow growth?

Tea with AK71: Alkaline water.

Sunday, October 9, 2011

In recent months, I kept being bombarded by news about alkaline water. I hear about it on the radio. I read about it in the magazines and newspapers. I read about it in flyers given out at shopping malls. Is alkaline water really so amazing?


A few days ago, when I was shopping at NTUC Fairprice. I saw alkaline water on sale! These bottles were placed together with bottles of mineral water and distilled water. Price: $2.90 for a 2 litre bottle. Made in Singapore.

Anyway, the idea is that our body is very acidic and the food we eat is mostly acidifying too. So, to maintain a healthier balance, we need to eat alkalising food. For some time now, when I want a snack, I eat an orange, an apple, a handful of raisins, figs or almonds. These are alkalising. So, I guess drinking alkaline water is a natural next step.

I know there are companies which sell machines which would make normal tap water at home into alkaline water either through distillation or ionising processes. I don't think I can convince my mom to have one installed. She is skeptical about the health benefits of alkaline water. Frankly, I don't know for sure if the benefits are proven beyond a doubt as well. At $2.90 a day, I guess, it is worth a try.

Does anyone have any personal experience, good or bad, with alkaline water? Would you like to leave a comment to share your experience?

Er, in case you are wondering, this is not an advertorial. I don't make any money from blogging about this.  ;)


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