CapitaMalls Asia: Any correction is a buying opportunity.

CapitaMalls Asia's share price is enjoying a strong follow through after breaking resistance. Further increase in share price is likely to meet stronger resistance at $1.93, the 138.2% Fibo line. Overcoming this resistance level would see the next two golden ratios at $2.00 and $2.07 providing resistance.

It remains to be seen if $1.84 is resistance turned support. Stronger support is at $1.705 as that was a many times tested resistance that finally gave way after a period of seven months. Bears would have to be out in full force and more in order to push the share price below $1.705 as the bulls who missed the boat earlier would likely try to get on the boat at this very price, give or take a couple of bids.

All the daily MAs are rising and the picture has turned nicely bullish. Any correction to test supports would be a buying opportunity.

We reckon there may be opportunities for CMA to monetize some assets in 2013, such as Queensbay Mall and its 50% stake in ION Orchard. With continued strong underlying performance from the malls, we maintain our BUY recommendation. Target price is raised to SGD2.25. (Maybank Kim Eng, 29 Oct 12)

Related post:
CapitaMalls Asia: Broke resistance.

China Minzhong: Accumulate on weakness.

There are a few stocks which I would like to accumulate on weakness in the near term. China Minzhong is one such stock.

Many like Jim Rogers have put forth a convincing case of an impending food crisis. In the event of global food shortages, it is logical to expect food prices to rise. So, investing in food producers seems to make good sense.

Improving numbers, insider buying, an experienced management and the right industry, I believe China Minzhong is a good company to invest in. Also, there could be more positive catalysts and these could push its share price higher.

After hitting a low of 53c in early June, its share price rose to hit a high of 87.5c on 19 Oct. That is a meteoric 65% increase in a short span of 4 months.

The daily chart is showing some fatigue. Some consolidation is to be expected. The immediate support is at 78c. If that should go, next supports are at 74c and 70c. The MACD which is a pure price oscillator suggests that supports could continue to be tested. However, the Chaikin Money Flow does not show any significant outflow of funds which suggests that long holders are not in any hurry to sell. We could see share price doing what Daryl Guppy calls a correction using time which means people waiting on the side hoping to get back in when there is a price correction could be disappointed.

The weekly chart shows quite clearly that the downtrend has reversed. Breaking immediate support could see share price declining to test the 20w MA in the longer term. This currently approximates 71c. As the 20w MA is rising, the longer term support would be a higher value over time. The declining 100w MA, currently at $1.10, could cap any further price increase in the near future.

Buying when there is a test of supports with longer term MAs rising seems like a good idea. However, remember, TA shows where the supports and resistance are but it does not mean that they will be tested.

Related post:
China Minzhong: Opportunity in slowing momentum.

“If food inflation in China remains high, there is a high chance that the management’s revenue target (of 15% growth) could be surpassed.” Maybank-KE keeps a Buy call with $1.16 target. Read full article in The EDGE.

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Black, white or grey?

I enjoy reading but the kind of stuff I read is mostly related to money and investments these days. Gone are the days when I would read a book of fiction every week.

A friend told me I have no life because I don't read the "Life" section of The Straits Times. Droll.

Anyway, just now, I read a story in Yahoo which evoked within me a mixed feeling of condemnation and sadness for the guilty party. Many times, things are not black or white although I would prefer for them to be so as it would make life easier.

This story has nothing to do with money and investments:

A 32-year-old female Singaporean teacher was sentenced to a year in jail on Monday for having sex with a 15-year-old boy in her school, local media reported.

The teacher, who was married with two children, started a relationship with the student last year after she started counselling him, the Straits Times daily reported on its website.

The teacher-student-monument in Rostock, Germany.

I think it is more common to read about male teachers in such cases or am I being sexist here?

After reading the story, my initial reaction was that the female teacher deserves the punishment. Pure and simple. Then, although I still think she should be punished, I feel a bit sad for her.

Under Singapore law, an adult found guilty of engaging sexual intercourse with anyone under the age of 16 -- even if it's consensual -- faces up to 10 years' imprisonment, a fine or both.

The boy is one year away from being legal. Could they not have been really in love?

Of course, there are other issues involved here such as how the teacher abused a position of power and trust. So, if the boy had been a JC student, the teacher could still have been dismissed by MOE but she would have been spared a jail sentence?

Once people are married, they are no longer fully their own person. They are only half a person. Whatever they do, they should think of the other half. If they have children, the responsibility becomes heavier as the children could be psychologically scarred for life through parents' thoughtless behaviour. So, I feel sad for her family too.

Then, I thought perhaps the boy's family could have thought about the teacher's situation and how they could have dealt with the issue differently. People do wrong sometimes. Perhaps, a private meeting with the teacher and a warning that she should stay away from their son would suffice?

Psychiatrists found "no predatory paedophilic tendencies" in the teacher. So, she is not a threat to the young in society at large. Of course, this fact only came to light because the case went to Court.

In a different time and age, could this have had a different outcome?

Read full story: here.

A blast from the past: Singapore blue chips or S-REITs?

I have been blogging for close to three years and looking back, I was a rather prolific blogger. Over the weekend, I read some of my older blog posts and found one which I have almost totally forgotten about.

Those were the days when S-REITs were largely unloved and shunned. Written in the first year of my blog's creation, to anyone who would listen, it was an effort to show that S-REITs could be great investments too.

Readers from my blog's early days might or might not remember this blog post but, I believe, all readers could benefit from the blog post as a reminder for us not to be bigots. It is a reminder to myself as well as I find that I have an increasing propensity to become mired in mental mud as I grow older. Feel the same way?

Then, you might want to read an ASSI forgotten classic:
Building and preserving our wealth: Singapore blue chips or S-REITs?