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Cache Logistics Trust: Reverse head and shoulders.

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

I am rather excited by the price action of Cache Logistics Trust today. Price formed a wickless white candle as it closed at 96c, the neckline of the potential reverse head and shoulders pattern I mentioned in earlier blog posts. It remains to be seen if this resistance could be overcome. 96c is also where we find the 200dEMA.


If resistance at 96c were taken out, using Fibo lines, I see more significant resistance provided by the golden ratios at 98c (138.2%), 98.5c (150%) and 99c (161.8%). I initiated a long position in this trust at its lowest not long ago and added to my position shortly after. So, if the resistance levels identified should be tested, I would not be averse to some profit taking. Locking in some nice gains? Sure, why not?

Related post:
Cache Logistics Trust: 1Q FY2011 results.

First REIT: Weakness on XD.

First REIT went XD today and its unit price gapped down, closing at 73.5c on the back of higher volume. Could its unit price continue to weaken? Acknowledging the lack of trend, let's look at the Stochastics and it is obviously falling from overbought territory. It could continue falling and we could see First REIT's unit price testing the support of its trading range at about 72c, given time. However, this might  not happen since price is currently at a confluence of MAs (i.e. 20d, 50d and 100d) which could act as support.


What would I do? Sell at resistance and buy at supports. If price should have a bounce up, selling at 74.5c or a bid lower at 74c could be a good idea. If price were to retest 72c support, buying more is what I would do. If you guess I am putting more faith in the possibility of the REIT's unit price weakening further in the short term, you are right. Just remember, however, that I could be wrong. ;-)


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