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Cambridge Industrial Trust: 1Q 2011 results.

Thursday, April 28, 2011

I must say that Mr. Chris Calvert, CEO of Cambridge Industrial Trust, has not failed suspicions that he could underdeliver. He did so and did so stupendously.


DPU declared for 1Q 2011 is 1.001c (XD 5 May 2011). This is to be paid on 14 June 2011. Annualised DPU is provided by the management as 4.06c. This is much lower than the DPU of 4.84c, post rights, as suggested by the manager. I blogged about the tricky nature of the rights issue and DPU forecast in an earlier blog post. Read it here.

At today's closing price of 51c, the annualised DPU of 4.06c would mean a distribution yield of only 7.96%. This is greatly disappointing! Has Mr. Chris Calvert outdone himself? A rhetorical question.

Property manager's fees increased a whopping 46.4% while manager's management fees increased 8% year on year. All these while the gross revenue of the REIT increased only 3.8% year on year.

Regular readers know that I do not have a high opinion of Mr. Chris Calvert and I have blogged about how the Trust has failed to deliver in the past. An example? Please read blog post here. However, I decided to be friends with Cambridge Industrial Trust again (read blog post here) and it seems that I could have been too forgiving.

Given a chance for a small gain, I would probably divest my smallish investment in this Trust. Yes, the consolation is that my investment in this Trust is a very small one. Perhaps, a wary subconscious prevented me from foolishly investing too much in this Trust.

With gearing at 33.3%, an interest cover ratio of only 4.8x and a distribution yield of less than 8%, I am better off investing in Cache Logistics Trust, AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and Sabana REIT. All of these have lower gearing, higher interest cover ratios and higher distribution yields. Cambridge Industrial Trust is a loser.

See manager's report here.
See presentation slides here.

Sabana REIT: DPU of 3.04c.

Wednesday, April 27, 2011


While chatting with some friends, I mentioned that I expect a maiden DPU of no less than 2.8c for Sabana REIT. I also said that I could be wrong and the DPU could be higher. I am happy to be wrong and a DPU of 3.04c was announced. The REIT will go XD on 10 May and the income distribution will be made on 16 June.

Some important numbers:

NAV/unit: 98c.
Gearing: 24.9%
Interest cover ratio: 7.9x

See presentation slides here.

Not too long ago, I initiated a long position in Sabana REIT very close to its low and, similar, to my investment in Cache Logistics Trust, I would not be averse to some profit taking if its unit price were to rise meaningfully in the near future.


Immediate resistance is provided by the declining 50dMA at 94.5c. This is more likely than not to give way and the next resistance level is at 96c which is where we find the 100dMA as well as the 138.2% Fibo line, the first of three golden ratios. I am hopeful that we could see 98c tested as per my previous blog post on this REIT.

Related post:
Sabana REIT: Turning positive.



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