Sound Global: Retest of resistance likely

On 7 July, I said that the technicals suggested it could be time to sell Sound Global's shares and that if price were to move higher, it would be a slow grind upwards. This picture has, essentially, stayed intact till now as its share price has been stuck at resistance, not being able to move convincingly above 61.5c, a many times tested resistance in the last few months.

Mr. Market is feeling slightly bullish of late and, so, could his attention move to Sound Global?

The company's fundamentals are strong and with sentiments improving, there is a chance that its share price could move higher. A retest of resistance at 61.5c looks likely. However, whether resistance could be taken out would depend on volume which has been rather low.

After 61.5c, the next major resistance is at 68c.

Related post:
Sound Global: Would I buy now?

Sound Global said it has agreed to undertake the second phase to expand the existing capacity as well as to increase the existing discharge standard of the wastewater treatment plant BOT project in Jingbian County, Shaanxi Province, China.

Sound Global wins Shaanxi wastewater treatment plant BOT project for $16m
Friday, 03 August 2012

© 2012 - The Edge Singapore

Ben & Jerry’s Chunkfest!

Have you been to an ice-cream beach festival? Ice-cream what? Yes, an ice-cream beach festival!

Featuring 15 exclusive and specially flown flavours from around the world as well as our favourite flavours in Singapore, there will be fun, games and activities for everyone. And to top it all, we are also introducing a brand new flavor at the event this year!

Join us from 2pm to 10pm on August 25, 2012!

Follow this link for full details: Ben & Jerry's Chunkfest!

Saizen REIT: Beefing up distributable income.

Saizen REIT has been adding apartment buildings to its portfolio since resolving the CMBS for YK Shintoku. This will go some way to ameliorating the expected decline in DPU due to warrants exercised earlier.

Since my blog post of 26 May 2012, Saizen REIT's unit price has been rising gradually, hitting a high of 16c just two sessions ago. Mr. Market has recovered from his anxiety and is making up for over selling the REIT back in May, it seems.

For anyone who has missed the boat and is thinking of jumping in now, I would say that the risk premium is higher now, obviously. In the last two years or so, the highest Saizen REIT's unit price went to was 18c, if I remember correctly. Would its unit price push to test 18c again? I am almost confident it would but when would it do so? That, I cannot say.

If the REIT's unit price should decline, there are layers of support with longer term supports clustered at 14.6c, 14.4c and 14.3c. The shorter term 20dMA is at 15.4c. People anticipating its half yearly income distribution which is payable sometime in September and to be announced this month could be eyeing the 20dMA. So, the support, if tested, could show some strength in the near term.

Related post:
Saizen REIT: Why did I buy and would I buy more?

Japan Residential Assets Manager, the manager (of Saizen Real Estate Investment Trust (Saizen REIT),said associate Godo Kaisha has agreed to acquire of Rise Yotsugibashi (RYB) from an independent party for JPY 428 million ($6.8 million).


RYB is a brand new building built in June. It comprises 49 residential units, three car parking lots and five bicycle lots....


RYB is currently in the process of being tenanted. It is expected to generate annual revenue and net property income of JPY 36.3 million and JPY 27.5 million respectively, which are equivalent to about 0.9% and 1.1% of Saizen REIT’s annual revenue and net property income in the financial year ended 30 June 2011 (FY2011).

Saizen REIT acquires residential apartment for $6.8m
Friday, 03 August 2012

© 2012 - The Edge Singapore

LMIR: 2Q 2012 DPU 0.79c.

LMIR has increased distributable income, giving a distribution per unit (DPU) of 0.79c in 2Q 2012, payable on 30 August 2012. This an improvement over the DPU of 0.69c in 1Q 2012. Having said this, it is still lower than the 0.815c I estimated, post rights.

LMIR has a gearing level of 9.3% (9.2% in 1Q 2012) and its interest cover ratio is 11.4x (13.3x in 1Q 2012).  There is plenty of debt headroom and I still believe that growth through further acquisitions is likely to be funded fully by debt and we could see DPU improving by a fair amount.

Indonesia remains a growth story with domestic consumption forming some 60% of its GDP. The demand for quality retail space is growing over time.

LMIR remains a bullet proof REIT with a strong balance sheet. However, whether it could deliver meaningfully higher DPU depends on its management which seems slow to act and has, in my opinion, under-delivered, post rights.

Would at I buy at current prices? No.

See slides presentation: here.

Related post:
LMIR: 1Q 2012 DPU 0.69c.

Masters In Management - At The London Business School

In a very competitive job market, are you thinking of how to stand out from the crowd? Have you thought of having a Masters Degree to give you that competitive edge in job applications?

London Business School is looking to increase the number of Masters in Management (MiM) applications it receives from graduates/recent graduates with less than a year’s work experience, who are looking for a post-graduate business course. 

The Master in Management (MiM) programme will lay the foundations for a successful career in business as it gives students a competitive edge in front of global recruiters. 

The MiM programme helps students develop deep knowledge and skills in the key areas of business that can be transferred directly to the corporate world. 
 Develop deep knowledge and skills in the key areas of business that can be transferred directly to the corporate world · Develop deep knowledge and skills in the key areas of business that can be transferred directly to the co
The MiM programme also comes with a Career Skills Programme which runs alongside academic study and assists students with career evaluation, job search and professional skill development.

To stay relevant and current, the MiM programme was developed in extensive consultation with top recruiters and the curriculum focuses on the knowledge and skills that employers demand.

Leading recruiters regularly visit the school and the programme's Career and Business Immersion weeks provide exclusive opportunities to meet top graduate employers.

In just one year, LBS graduates can get a world-respected brand on their CV. 

The 2011 Masters in Management Employment Report shows that:

· 96% of the class secured an offer of employment within three months of graduation

· 42% of graduates went into finance; 35% into consulting and 23% into corporate sectors

· There was an increase in the number of students being hired into the same organisation which shows that recruiters value the contribution MiM make.

· Companies hiring MiMs included A.T. Kearney, Apple, Bain & Company, Booz & Company, Citi, Google, HSBC, L'Oreal, McKinsey & Company, The Boston Consulting Group, Unilever, Universal McCann, UBS and ZS Associates. 

See the full report here.

MiM alum Andreas Lubbe, who used the MiM to fast-track his business career, said: "I felt that there was no degree other than the London Business School Masters in Management that would really help to prepare me for working in top tier companies."

Andreas's programme experience video is available on the London Business School Masters in Management website.http://bs.serving-sys.com/BurstingPipe/adServer.bs?cn=tf&c=20&mc=click&pli=4543570&PluID=0&ord=[timestamp]  

So, if you are thinking of gaining a strong competitive edge in a business career, why not consider the London Business School Masters in Management?  MiM is a full-time, 12 month programme and the next start date is September 2012.

For more information, download the brochure here

Relevant links:
London Business School
Masters In Management


Sponsored Post

Traffic accident with a Malaysian vehicle.

On Saturday night, while driving home on the PIE, there was an accident on the lane I was in. As I always make it a point not to follow too closely the vehicle in front of me when I drive, I was able to stop my car in time although the wet road surface from an earlier downpour made braking more hazardous.

I was really pleased that my safe driving style paid off. However, that happiness lasted for only 3 or 4 seconds. There was a loud bang and I felt the impact as a motorcycle crashed into the back of my car. Sigh. I got out of my car and took a look. Argh! It was a motorcycle from Johor! Nooooo!

From being pleased, I became upset in a flash.

The motorcyclist was dazed and he probably cut his lips in the fall as he had blood on his teeth. His bike had a "P" sticker. A newly licensed rider. He looked frightened too and I later found out that the bike was borrowed from a friend.

I think I must have felt sorry for him and he must have have felt relieved that I did not scold him. He said he had tried to change lanes instead of braking but because traffic was heavy, he couldn't do it and ended up crashing into the rear of my car. He should have stopped his bike instead of trying to change lanes.

Anyway, I made a police report later that night at the advice of a friend. In any traffic accident involving a foreign vehicle in Singapore, a police report must be made within 24 hours of the accident.

Today, I brought my car to the approved workshop and my worst fear was realised. I would have to claim against my own insurance policy first because the other party is a foreign vehicle. It has to be so if I want to get my car repaired soon. There is no guarantee that the cost of repair could be recovered from the other party!

I would also have to pay an excess of $600 claiming against my own insurance policy. I bought an NCD protector. Otherwise, I would also lose my NCD.

Whenever I hear of accidents like this, I would always wonder why it is so difficult to claim against insurance policies of Malaysian vehicles involved in accidents here. In fact, I was told that it is almost impossible.

Singapore vehicles are not allowed on the roads unless they have valid insurance policies. The same should apply to foreign vehicles but if it is almost impossible to claim against their insurance policies, then, it is as good as being uninsured when they are in Singapore, isn't it? Then, they should not be allowed on our roads.

This reminds me of an accident here which I read in the papers some time ago involving a local female reporter. Her vehicle was the second last vehicle in a chain collision and the last vehicle was a van from Malaysia. She really suffered in the entire claim process which lasted months. I cannot remember clearly now but I think she had to bear all the cost in the chain collision as they could not track down the van from Malaysia.

These days, I always try to look on the brighter side of things. If I had not been able to brake in time, I would have been the second last vehicle in the chain collision and things would be more complicated now. I would have been in same situation as the female reporter mentioned earlier. So, I should count my blessings.

However, I am only human and cannot help but feel rather sad now...

To be richer, be comfortable with being invested.

I met someone recently who told me he is swearing off the stock market for good. I asked him why. He told me that he lost a lot of money in the global financial crisis but he managed to recover all his losses in the ensuing recovery. That is good news, isn't it? Well, apparently, Mr. Market took back some of the gains in the last one year. So, he is still in a nett loss position.

I asked if his investments paid any dividends and he said yes but very little. He said that with the amount of time and effort he put into the stock market, he might as well just leave the money in a fixed deposit and save himself some headache (and heartache).

This person was not a very close friend but for some reason when I meet people, the conversation would steer towards investments and personal finance matters. Anyway, as I did not know the person very well, I did not want to volunteer too much information because it could come back to haunt me one day.

However, I could not resist asking if he had thought of REITs. He looked at me with frown and said he vaguely remembered reading in the newspapers that REITs were a waste of time. He asked why did I ask. I told him I have some investments in REITs and they have been very good to me. He was curious and asked me for more information. I was in a slight fix.

I believe that for any investor, the most important knowledge is not TA or FA, it is self-knowledge. Know ourselves and we will know if a product is suitable for us. Know ourselves and we will know if a certain something is what we have been looking for. We could have all the financial knowledge in the world but not knowing ourselves, we could end up having sleepless nights as investors.

Why are investors in the stock market? To make money. Why do drivers go on the road? To get from point A to point B. Well, that would be a logical assumption. There are many types of investors in the stock market just like there are many types of drivers on the road. Each type would have a distinct behaviour but they all share one primary reason for doing what they do.

Some drivers are speed demons and they also like weaving in and out of traffic. On more than one occasion, a speeding car which had overtaken my slower Mazda 2 a few minutes before would be waiting for me at the next traffic light a few minutes later. Of course, if the driver had not been stopped by the traffic light, he could have reached his destination a few minutes earlier. Just for a few minutes, why increase the risk of getting into an accident?

Some spend much of their time in the stock market looking for the next big thing. The theme is multi-baggers. Is this wrong? No, of course not. I do it too. If we could find a multi-bagger, we would be rewarded many times over. However, once invested, the waiting is the hardest. What if something were to go wrong? Luck plays a big part in success.

These days, I still do a spot of potential multi-bagger spotting but I am able to do it now with a greater level of comfort. Why? I have a thick cushion of capital gains and dividends received. On top of this, I have a predictable flow of passive income from my investments in selected S-REITs and some high yield stocks. So, it helps to reduce any feeling of anxiety if my spotting becomes spotty. Being comfortable, therefore, would contribute to our success rate and if we are honest with ourselves, we would agree that this rings true.

We have probably heard from gurus that we must be emotionless in the stock market. I am only human. So, try as I may, I am not totally without emotions. I know that we should be greedy when others are fearful but if I do not have a greater level of comfort, I find it hard not to be at least somewhat fearful. It is like a person on a flying trapeze. He would feel less fearful if he had a safety net, wouldn't he?

I am a creature of comfort in more ways than one. I must feel comfortable in anything I do. I believe every human being is the same. Now, when financial advisors ask us what is our risk appetite, they could very well be asking us what is the level of comfort we need before we might want to take the plunge. Why do they not ask it differently? I wonder.

Finally, after such a long winded discourse, I am back to where I started. I asked this person to closely examine what he needs in order to feel comfortable in being invested in the stock market. That answer lies within him and he has to be honest with himself. Once he has the answer, things would fall into place and he would know what to do. Ideally, anyway.

Related posts:
1. Of primates and their diet.
2. Trading to put food on the table.
3. A common piece of advice on saving.
4. To protect our wealth, we have to take risk.
5. Why do I not panic?

What should a Singaporean have by age 35?

I came across an article in Yahoo!Finance: "The 5 things every Singaporean should have by 35."

The 5 things the author listed are:

1.  A time deposit that would be maturing soon. He thinks that people should start by having a reliable investment scheme in their 20s and went on to say that fixed deposits are a good place to look... er...

2.  A relevant degree. He thinks that a degree is the norm these days and people should get a degree as soon as possible. He also thinks that a degree is the key to employability. I wonder if diploma holders might disagree and, also, I guess for those who are more entrepreneurial, a degree might not really be a necessity.

3. A job with a health plan. OK, this sounds kind of strange to me. It is as if one of the reasons for working for company ABC must be because it has comprehensive health benefits for employees... I would rather have a comprehensive personal medical insurance policy. After all, what if company ABC were to retrench me?

4. All rollover debts resolved. This means no credit card debts. I think we should not have any credit card debts no matter our age. It is the most expensive debt anyone could have! 24% interest per annum? Of course, there are balance transfer offers aplenty these days but they aren't exactly free either, are they? So, zero rollover debts from the day we get our credit cards, period.

5. At least one form of side income. He says it doesn't matter if it is forex trading, franchise ownership or a money making hobby. This is to provide for retirement and some extra spending money. I would agree to this but I would try to make it so that this side income is passive in nature. The side income should be such that it continues to flow in even if we should be incapacitated in one way or another.

The author probably means well but I cannot help but feel that the article was hastily written although it is obvious to me that the writer has a flair for writing.

I suppose people in different age groups would have different things to say about what we should have by age 35. What would you say are the things we should have by age 35?

CapitaMalls Asia: Interim dividend of 1.625c per share.

Hurrah!

CapitaMalls Asia posted profit after tax and minority interests (PATMI) of $232 million for 2Q 2012, an increase of 40.7% from the $164.9 million for 2Q 2011.

Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) were $283.8 million for 2Q 2012, 33.4% higher than the $212.8 million for 2Q 2011.

CapitaMalls Asia has declared an interim dividend of 1.625 cents each.

CapitaMalls Asia’s 2Q earnings up 40.7% to $232m
Thursday, 26 July 2012

© 2012 - The Edge Singapore

Cache Logistics Trust: 2Q 2012's DPU down 5%.

A drop in DPU? Yes, that is right. From 2.086c in the last distribution to 1.981c this time round.

This is due mainly to a private placement of 60 million units in March this year. This is an important reason why I prefer a rights issue to a private placement.

With a rights issue, all unitholders are given a chance to participate in the enlarged capital base of the REIT. With a private placement, retail investors are usually disadvantaged.

Although the DPU might still fall 5% if the REIT had a rights issue instead of a private placement, at least all unitholders would have had a chance to buy new units at a discount which would mean the distribution yields on their investments would be less affected negatively, if at all. Unitholders would also be able to benefit from the price appreciation of the rights units.

Well, it remains to be seen if the management is able to improve DPU in the coming quarters, raising it to the level before the private placement in March.

NAV/unit: 90c.
Gearing: 27.5%.
Interest cover ratio: 7.5x.

With gearing lower at 27.5%, new acquisitions could be in the pipeline.

See presentation slides: here.

Related post:
Cache Logistics Trust: 1Q 2012.

First REIT: 2Q 2012 DPU unchanged.

First REIT has delivered another quarterly DPU of 1.93c, unchanged from the last quarter. However, the quarterly DPU of 1.93c would not be repeated as it includes the final payment from the gain from selling of its Adam Road property. This is why I have cautioned more than once that we should use a more conservative quarterly DPU estimate of 1.6c when valuing the REIT.

The REIT goes XD on 30 July 2012 and income distribution is payable to unitholders on 29 August 2012.

NAV/unit: 79.5c
Gearing: 15.9%
Interest cover ratio: 11.8x
Occupancy: 100%

In 2H 2012, the REIT could see marginally higher income once a 5 storey annex is completed in its Lentor Residence later this year. It is also expected to take advantage of its low gearing and acquire more properties from its sponsor, Lippo Karawaci. The REIT has ROFR to several properties in Indonesia in various stages of completion.

Lentor Residence

First REIT's current unit price is definitely on the high side. Mr. Market is not known for patience. So, if the REIT should be tardy in its efforts to improve DPU, we could see its unit price declining over time now that the contribution from the sale of its Adam Road property will cease.

See slides presentation: here.

Related post:
First REIT: 1Q 2012 DPU of 1.93c and a higher fair value?

Ascendas Hospitality Trust: Am I interested?

Over the weekend, a friend asked me if I would be interested in Ascendas Hospitality Trust although he knew that I am generally not interested in IPOs. He was just asking for my thoughts on the Trust.

Ariake Sunroute Hotel, Japan.

Ascendas Hospitality Trust (A-HTrust) will be offering 437.33 million stapled securities at 88 cents each for mainboard listing in its initial public offer (IPO) in Singapore.

(Source: The Business Times, 18 July 2012)

What are stapled securities?

Stapling simply means that two different securities are "stapled" together for the purposes of trading or transfers. Stapled security could comprise two or more of the same or legally different instruments, for example, a share in a company and a unit in a trust.

The trust(s) and the company(ies) can hold assets and operate businesses, but active business, such as asset management and development are typically conducted by the company while passive investments in property or funds are undertaken by the trust. In practice, the trust and the company effectively operate as one entity although the company continues to be a separate legal entity from the trust.

Source: http://www.invested.hk/invested/en/html/section/index.html

For example:

CDL Hospitality Trusts is a stapled group comprising CDL Hospitality Real Estate Investment Trust ("H-REIT"), a real estate investment trust, and CDL Hospitality Business Trust ("HBT"), a business trust.

Well, what do I think of Ascendas Hospitality Trust? I won't do a thorough analysis of the Trust because I don't really have the inclination although I will share why I am not interested in it (now).

ibis Beijing Sanyuan Hotel.

Initially, the Trust will hold 10 hotels in its portfolio. These hotels are in the countries of China, Australia and Japan with Australia contributing to some three quarters of its income. The Trust also projects an 8% distribution yield in the year 2014.

I feel that I need to be conversant in the economies of three countries and the health of their respective tourism sectors to analyse how well they could continue doing. I would also need to take into consideration that income would be collected in three foreign currencies and converted to S$ for distribution to unitholders. Foreign exchange rates would affect income in S$ terms.

So, analysing this Trust and forecasting its future income is somewhat more challenging. It is less straightforward.

Then, what about my investment in Saizen REIT? Isn't that Japanese?

I won't say that I am conversant with the Japanese economy or its housing sector but I am a bit better informed in the area. Also, it is one country, not three and I only have to look at a pair of currencies, not three.

Saizen REIT is also holding residential properties, not hotels. Demand for housing is more inelastic compared to demand for hotels and with the type of properties Saizen REIT owns, there is lesser correlation with the ups and downs of the economy. Demand for hotels, however, is very different.

Ascendas Hospitality Trust is going to demand a lot of time and effort from me if I were to be become a unitholder. An eventual 8% distribution yield? I will need a higher distribution yield to entice me into this one in view of the work I have to do.

Hong Kong Disneyland - Grizzly Gulch!

Where to go during the upcoming school holidays?

Disneyland, where magical moments happen every day!

Hong Kong Disneyland is bringing in new exclusive theme lands to add to all the fun!

Grizzly Gulch - Wild wild west!

Grizzly Gulch is an upcoming theme land set to open at Hong Kong Disneyland, this will be a World Exclusive only for Hong Kong, so you won’t be able to find this in any other Disneyland around the world!

Toy Story Land

Remember the familiar phrase “To infinity & Beyond!” from Buzz Lightyear? Now you can experience the magic at The Asia Exclusive Toy Story Land which opened last November!

Bring out the child at heart and set sail to enjoy the new theme rides and just bask in Disneyland’s magic: Hong Kong Disneyland! 

Good deal:
4 Days 3 Nights Hong Kong at less than $400 per person. Find your Hong Kong Long Weekend Getaway at the best price with ZUJI.

Have conviction and make money?

It is impossible to see into the future. People who say that they can are like fortune tellers.

How much are their advice worth? How much would we pay fortune tellers to read our palms?

Whatever decisions we make are based on a whole gamut of factors. Then, we have certain expectations of how things would turn out after making such decisions.

The more thoroughly we could reason our feelings of conviction, the higher our chances of staying the course and, dare I say, that our decisions could deliver on our expectations.

Regular readers would probably get the feeling that for whatever has done well for me, I have been reasonably rigorous in my reasoning for those decisions (e.g. to be invested in industrial S-REITs in the last 3 years).

Every person, I believe, has flaws. I have a whole bagful of flaws. One flaw I have when it comes to investment is that I tend to be more careless when I do not have a feeling of crisis.

To have conviction is good but it has to be well reasoned. If I am unable to reason well my conviction, there shouldn't be any conviction.

Remember, however, that conviction is only part of the equation. Luck plays a big part in whether things turn out the way we expect them to.

I was reading The Business Times (weekend edition) and came across an interview with Isaac Souede, the chairman and CEO of Permal, one of the world's largest hedge funds groups.

He is reasonably bullish on China and is exposed to Asian equity through China, "which is seen as pivotal to Asia's fortune."

"If I'm wrong and China has a hard landing, all of Asia won't grow... Most countries in Asia (except India) are in the glide path of a pro-growth policy... which is very positive for equities. But the harbinger of all that is China...

"If Europe stays on a glide path of zero growth for the next five years, US and China will be fine... As long as Europe doesn't become cataclysmic and create a financial issue, then it can be at least cauterised. Europe is a very long term, trial and error solution. The key is for the US and China not to implode."

His conviction is strong and he has his reasons. However, so many things are not within his control. So, a good dose of luck is needed to deliver on his expectations.

Making money needs more than well reasoned convictions but well reasoned convictions should be part of the money making process.

Related posts:
1. Excuse me, are you an investor?
2. How did AK71 overcome his losses?

Millionaires usually emerge from bear markets richer.

On 9 July, I wrote a piece on how fear of a collapse of the eurozone must be so strong that investors are paying Germany to borrow money from them.

Today, I read in The Business Times that "Millionaires added US stocks more than any other asset in the latest year as average investors fled to bonds, according to a survey by Fidelity Investments."

The survey involved 1,020 households with at least US$1 million in investable assets, excluding retirement savings and property, for the 12 months ended March 2012:

20% bought individual domestic equities.
13% added to the cash positions.
11% bought into ETFs.
10% added to bonds or stock funds.

Average age of respondents: 61 years old.
Average investable assets: US$ 3.05 million per respondent.

"They're probably ahead of the average investor in how they view opportunities," Bob Oros, EVP in Fidelity's wealth services group, said of millionaires. "They're becoming less and less risk averse."

Millionaires' outlook for the future of the economy was the most positive it has been since the annual study started in 2006.

We know that millionaires usually emerge from a bear market even richer than before. Now, do we know why?

Related posts:
1. Borrow money and be paid to do so.
2. Perpetual bonds: Good or bad?
3. Should we be staying invested or in cash?

Sabana REIT: 2Q 2012 DPU 2.27c.

When people asked me whether they should invest in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT or Sabana REIT recently, I asked them what are they after? If they are after a higher yield in the immediate future, Sabana REIT is the obvious choice.

Sabana REIT has declared a DPU of 2.27c, just 0.01c higher than in the last quarter. Annualised, this gives us 9.08c. Buying units of the REIT at $1.00 a piece would give us a distribution yield of 9.08%. Sabana REIT is probably the only one in the S-REIT universe now that is offering a distribution yield in excess of 9%.

Gearing: 34.1%

NAV/unit: $1.04

Interest cover ratio: 5.6x

Occupancy: 98.4% to 100%.
(Total occupancy rate: 99.9%)

Remaining land leases (average): 39.7 years.

The REIT's management should be working on leases expiring in 2013 soon, if they have not started already. Given that 47.4% (down from 49.4% in January 2012) of leases expire in 2013, this is a top priority, in my opinion. Hopefully, we would then see positive rental reversions which would, in turn, improve DPUs.

They have signed a new 10+5 year master lease for 1 Tuas Avenue 4 which would now expire on 31 March 2022. I would like to see more of such effort to reduce lease expiry concentration in 2013 and, to a certain extent, 2015.

In the meantime, the REIT could probably make another two or three acquisitions if it gears up to 40%. This would be the fastest way to improve DPU.

The REIT will go XD on 25 July and its income distribution is payable on 29 August.

See presentation slides: here.

Related post:
Sabana REIT: 1Q 2012 DPU 2.26c.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: 1Q FY2013.

DPU is 2.5c, 0.2c lower than in the last quarter. This is within expectation. Some might remember when a reader was elated that the REIT was paying 0.1c more in DPU per quarter culminating in 2.7c in the last quarter, I mentioned that it would probably not be repeated in this quarter.

The REIT will go XD on 31 July and income distribution is payable on 18 September.  With unit price at $1.30 or so, we are looking at a distribution yield of 7.69%, annualising the 2.5c DPU for the quarter (representing 97.7% of its income available for distribution). However, we are likely to see income improving towards year end and the REIT is likely to pay out all of its income available for distribution in Q4. So, the distribution yield for the whole year could be a bit higher, everything else remaining constant.

NAV/unit: S$1.40

Gearing: 29.7%

Interest coverage ratio: 6.0x

Occupancy: 99.1%

Weighted land lease expiry: 41.8 years

Average security deposit: 7.2 months

The management is actively managing the REIT's lease expiry risk and has made good progress since the last quarterly report. If it continues with the positive momentum, we could see more positive rental reversions and this could be DPU accretive.

Of the REIT's total debt of $279.4m, $113.6m is maturing in October 2013. I would like to see the REIT's manager getting this out of the way with a longer 5 years term loan instead of the usual 3 years. Of course, it makes sense to do so as it locks in a lower cost of capital in the current low interest rate environment. It will bolster investor confidence in the REIT.

For anyone investing for income and thinking to continue doing so for another few years at least, the REIT's DPU is likely to increase some 15% by end of 2013. This is very attractive and probably explains why the REIT's unit price has been on a steady climb upwards in recent weeks.

People ask if they should sell now and buy lower at a later date. People also ask me if they should buy now anyway as price could continue to go higher with expectations of a higher DPU in the coming quarters.

Answer:
I would not tell you what to do (surprise, surprise). I would share with you what I am doing: nothing. What investment I have in the REIT now is part of a core portfolio for income. Whatever I bought to trade for capital gains, I have already sold. If the REIT's unit price should weaken significantly, I would buy again. If its unit price should strengthen more significantly as to compress distribution yield by much more, then, I would consider further divestment. Now, I am keeping the status quo.

See presentation slides: here.

Related posts:
1. AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: 4Q FY2012.
2. AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Making money.

Tea with AK71: Soup Restaurant's S-Card.

Yeah! After weeks of waiting, I have received my S-Card from Soup Restaurant.

Some might remember that before I was a shareholder of Soup Restaurant, I blogged about how I chose to invest in Old Chang Kee instead of Soup Restaurant. That decision has turned out quite well.

Not too long ago, I explained my more recent decision to invest in Soup Restaurant. Well, it remains to be seen if my decision would bear fruit.

In the meantime, I will enjoy a discount off my bills on my periodic visits to Soup Restaurant's outlets. Yummy!

Related posts:
1. Old Chang Kee: Initiated a long position at 26c.
2. Soup Restaurant: Gain of $7.7m.

Win $50 watching TV!

Tired of watching the same old programs on TV?

Wanna watch your favourite online influencers do something that is out of the whack? Or just wanna see how reelity.tv can bring Singapore humour to another level?

Stand a chance to win $50 when you watch Reelity.tv today: Reelity.tv!

K-Green Trust: DPU of 3.13c.

I am still holding on to a small investment in K-Green Trust. I will be getting some money for the 5th time in the form of income distribution soon.

The Trust distributes income half yearly and a payout of 3.13c has been declared. Date payable: 16 August 2012.

Mr Thomas Pang, CEO of Keppel Infrastructure Fund Management Pte Ltd, the Trustee-Manager of K-Green Trust, said, "K-Green Trust continues to perform well in this period and remains committed to deliver stable, predictable and reliable distributions to the Unitholders."

Well, stable distributions are nice but what I am more interested is in seeing the Trust gear up to deliver growing distributions to Unitholders.

See announcement: here.

Related post:
1. K-Green Trust: Results for year ended Dec 2010.

Win a new iPad, iPod and $100 Dining Vouchers!

XinWang Hong Kong Café is launching their very own game to thank fans for their love and support over the years.

The puzzle game introduces 10 Signature Dishes to be completed within a certain time limit.

Play the game and you could be a winner!

Play now: XinWang Game.

Help raise funds for the Singapore Eczema Fund.

Do you know of anyone suffering from skin conditions (i.e eczema, psoriasis…) and constantly have to bear with the irritating itch? Or do you know of anyone suffering from joint conditions (i.e. osteo-arthritis, rheumatoid arthritis…), where they constantly feel the pain as they move around?

OLIVA forte™ is a unique, natural health supplement containing HIDROX® a standardized freeze dried blend of organic olive juice patented by CreAgri. HIDROX® is the only patented formulation which retains hydroxytyrosol and many natural olive polyphenols present in the natural environment of olive juice, ensuring maximum absorbency of hydroxytyrosol by the body.

Taking OLIVA forte™ promotes cardiovascular wellness and skin health, maintains healthy joint functions and strengthens the immune system.

OLIVA forte™ is raising funds for Singapore Eczema Fund which helps the low income with their eczema treatment. 20% of total sales proceeds from the sale of OLIVA forte™ essence trial pack (30 capsules@ S$25 (40% discount)) will be donated to the eczema fund.

Find out more at: OLIVA forte™.

Fraud: Advice from a fraudster (Updated).

UPDATE:
Two videos on common types of scams and how to avoid being the next victim.


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Often, we hear the saying that if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. However, could we be missing out on something good if we simply tell ourselves this each time there is a deal which looks too good to be true?

So, how do we tell if something is a genuinely good deal or if it is a well disguised pit. For sure, it is not easy. Even very savvy people have been victims of con jobs because if a con artist is a professional, he could have almost all the grounds covered. I say "almost" because the most elaborate of con jobs would still have loopholes.

How do we discover loopholes, if any? Who better to learn from than a professional con artist?

I read this in the weekend edition of The Business Times, 30 June - 1 July 2012:

"I am a proven liar. Don't believe anything I say," said Samuel Israel. He is the hedge fund manager convicted of running a US$450million Ponzi scheme who faked his own suicide in 2008 to avoid his prison sentence before turning himself in after a worldwide manhunt.

When asked what can an investor do to avoid being conned, he said, "Seek as much transparency as possible. If they do not understand exactly how a manager is making money, do not invest. If there is a secret process that cannot be explained, run."

Investors are sometimes too busy looking for profits to notice where the truth ends and the deception begins.

Related post:
Fraud: Like taking candy from a baby.