The possibility of a positive divergence panning out for CapitaMalls Asia still exists. With a lower low in its share price, the MACD has stayed at a higher low. However, it seems to be having some difficulty making a positive crossover with the signal line.
I decided to look at the weekly chart and found that the MACD has just gone lower than the previous low. A lower low on the MACD in the weekly chart is a foregone conclusion. It scuttles the chances of a reversal without a positive divergence.
What am I concluding from this? In the short term, there could be support and possibly a rebound but in the longer term, continuing weakness would not surprise me. Any rebound off lows to retest resistance would be good opportunities to reduce exposure.
I recognise the technical signs and would act accordingly. Bearing in mind all the time that TA is about probabilities, I never fully divest. A partial divestment reduces exposure and would allow me to ride any unforeseen reversal to the upside as well.
What about Capitaland? I am going to be lazy here. See the daily and weekly charts below:
Do you see the similarities? No prizes for guessing what am I planning to do with my investment in Capitaland. Good luck to fellow shareholders.
Related post:
An elaboration on my methods.
2 comments:
Some time ago I did have a target price for CMA- $1.50 or $1.60. Unfortunately it has now been met..
Hi Hubert,
Wasn't it $1.40? ;-)
Prophetic! :)
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