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Golden Agriculture: Inverted black hammer.

Sunday, June 27, 2010

CPO price has been in a downtrend since forming a double top in March this year. Following this, Golden Agriculture's downtrend started in early April. We have to remember that this company remains most dependent on CPO's price as it derives most of its profits from upstream activities. So, weakening CPO price is a big negative for it.

Resistance provided by the 100dMA proved too strong to be taken out and price formed a lower high at 55.5c on 21 Jun. In the last session, volume expanded as an inverted black hammer was formed, closing at the 52c support provided by the 20dMA.




MFI has formed a lower low, suggesting a lack of demand for the stock in the immediate term.  OBV has turned down. Clearly, distribution is taking place.

If the 20dMA support fails, using Fibo lines and drawing a trendline support from the low of 25 May, we derive an immediate downside target of 50c which happens to be a round number too.

The fundamentals are not supportive and the technicals are not strong. Cautious market participants who have resisted the temptation to buy in recently on a possible breakout at 55c should be breathing a sigh of relieve.


Related post:
Golden Agriculture: Resistance remains at 55c.

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