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ASSI's Guest bloggers

Raffles Education: Correction?

Monday, January 31, 2011

The fanfare that pushed up the share price of Raffles Education to touch a many months high of 35c came suddenly and provided the counter with a sugar rush which is now dissipating. The trendline support was broken four sessions ago and it now remains to be seen if the gentler trendline support below the 20dMA would be tested next. This is at 30c.


If I were to hazard a guess, 30c is likely to be a strong support as that is the price which formed the top of a small bowl before a breakout took place. Market participants would remember the price: not buying then led to missing out on a nice gain in the following sessions.

The MFI and the RSI show that the overbought condition has been corrected. The RSI is actually declining towards 50% and it would be interesting to see if 50% would act as support. The MFI which takes into consideration volume on top of price has flatlined just below the overbought region. This suggests that demand, although weaker, is still strong. Look at the trading volume and we see a semblance of a low volume pull back taking place. Buy more?

For anyone who wants to go long on this counter, being patient and waiting to buy some at supports in an uptrend is a good idea. I never like chasing. I rather like waiting for things to come to me.

Related post:
Raffles Education: A new property play?

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