2016 full year passive income from non-REITs (Part 2).

UPDATE (20 Jan 17):
When I shared my full year results for non-REITs last year, I wondered if Religare Health Trust (RHT) might be privatised. Then, with Accordia Golf Trust's (AGT) sponsor being bought over by Korean investors, MBK, many asked what is going to happen to AGT? A reader, betta man, shared this with me:

https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/accordia-golf-agt-sp-high-conviction-family-office-favourite

There is nothing wrong with speculation as long as we know we are speculating. Me? I am quite happy to hold on to my investment.
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As promised, this is Part 2 of a very long blog post. If you have not done so, read Part 1: HERE.
Let us start this blog post with some gossip. Wah! Is Religare Health Trust going to be delisted?

You say, I say, they say. Hmm. ;p

Anyway, three big things happened in the non-REIT space for me.

1. A big thing was receiving a much larger than usual distribution from Religare Health Trust (RHT) which I initiated a long position in sometime last year at 88c a unit. The special dividend (which gave me a yield of almost 30% based on cost) came from them disposing a share of an income generating asset due to regulatory requirement. Including regular distributions this year, RHT has been a very rewarding investment for me. I am quite happy to continue holding on to my investment in the Trust as it continues to generate income. 
See this chat with a reader:

2. Another big thing that took place in the non-REIT space was the internalisation of Croesus Retail Trust's management. There was a rights issue because of this. I took up my entitlement and also applied for excess rights. The rights units were priced at slightly under 80c a unit (and will enjoy a distribution yield of almost 9%). The size of my investment in the Trust increased by almost 6% as I took advantage of the exercise.

3. The third big thing is the offer to privatise ARA Asset Management at $1.78 a share. This is likely to be concluded by the middle of next year and based on my entry prices, I would get to enjoy reasonably attractive capital gains of 35% to 78% although I would miss the regular dividends.

As I had a fixed deposit maturing and with the much lower interest rates offered by the banks this year for fixed deposits compared to last year (1.1% per annum at UOB for 13 months, for example), I decided to buy more ARA shares at $1.71 a share in late November.

I believe that this is possibly an arbitrage opportunity which could give me an "interest rate" of about 4% over a period of, maybe, half a year. 

It could be higher because ARA pays dividends twice a year and another payout could happen in April or May. If it should happen, I could see a DPS of 2c to 3c if the privatisation process is not completed by then.

Of course, to be realistic, there is a chance that the offer might not be accepted as I know some shareholders feel that the offer of $1.78 a share still undervalues ARA. 

In such an instance, I would be quite contented to hold on to my latest purchase to receive regular dividends (for a 3% dividend yield based on a DPS of 5c or about 50% of EPS) as I also believe ARA is worth more and that its shares should trade at a higher price. 

Delist or stay listed, I am happy with ARA either way.

Total dividend income from non-REITs in 2016: 


S$ 105,641.29


This translates to S$ 8,803.44 per month.

Apart from dividend income, regular readers know that I used to trade stocks more actively. Earlier this month, I revealed on my Facebook wall as well as the comments section here in ASSI:

Source: A wealth building strategy that has worked for AK.

Although I enjoyed some capital gains from a few trades this year (and the most recent trades being in DBS as its share price rose significantly for a few weeks), it is due to an emphasis on investing for income that has ensured further improvement in my financial health.

On this note, I will now say something about APTT because it seems that many readers were attracted to APTT by the relatively high distribution yield of 10% and bought into it. Now, many of them are worried because the unit price plunged.

If we know the value of a stock, we would know if the price makes sense. If we didn't know the value of the stock, we would never know if the price makes sense. If we don't know this, price movements would make us emotional.

I said before that APTT's past DPU of 8c was unsustainable. Although the management reduced DPU to 6.5c, I said that it might be more prudent to have a DPU of 4c which, I felt, was more sustainable. That was because 4c would be closer to APTT's EPS. 

At 37.5c a unit, I decided to add to my investment in APTT recently. I know what some people might ask and here is my answer: 

I don't know if the unit price will decline further but if it should, knowing what I know and all else being equal, I would probably be buying more.

Investing in APTT, we are not investing for growth. We want its income generation ability. If you thought you were investing for growth when you got into APTT, you might have the wrong tool. 

Know what we want to do and use the right tools.

For those of us who invested in APTT for income, ask if anything has happened which has damaged its ability to generate income significantly and, if something has happened, is the damage long lasting? Then, do what you have to do.

Know what am I going to say? 

Yes, if AK can do it, so can you!

HAPPY NEW YEAR!

And I hope you have found my blogs this year to be inspiring and helpful on your own journey towards financial freedom.

Let me know if I should continue talking to myself next year. ;)

LOL. From my FB wall (1 Jan 17).

Related posts:

1. 1H 2016 income from non-REITs.

2. Breadtalk, OCK and QAF.

3. Made $1m investing for income.
4. 2016 FY income from S-REITs.

Outlook for 2017 

(by OCBC Investment Research):

While the overhang from Brexit and the US presidential election is over for now, heading into 2017, we expect continued weakness in oil-related stocks, softness in the property sector and higher impairment charges for banks to be some of the factors that will dent investor confidence in the Singapore market. While interest rates are likely to head higher, we believe the hunt for yield is not completely over and investors are still likely to accumulate quality high-dividend stocks. We expect banks to report low- to mid-single-digit earnings growth, and the outlook for the residential property sector is still soft after numerous quarters of decline and with no clear pickup in demand or selling prices. The oil and gas sector is still saddled with refinancing issues as well as a lack of orders and earnings. The telecommunications sector is also facing the threat of a new player.

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Watch from the 22nd minute for the discussion on Singapore banks: