The past few years were characterised by very low interest rates as money supply was ramped up by the U.S. Federal Reserves. Many businesses and individuals probably benefited from this. However, interest rates cannot stay so low for too long.
In preparation for an environment of higher interest rates, I have mentioned a few times before that I am on the lookout for businesses which are net cash or have very low gearing. I would also like to have them pay regular and meaningful dividends. I said the same thing too during an interview I gave recently.
To this end, together with a handful of companies, I have also been keeping an eye on King Wan which is a company introduced to me by Solace, a guest blogger here in ASSI, some time ago. Solace also wrote a very good piece on King Wan then and I have appended the link at the end of this blog.
Of course, it is not enough that a business is in a net cash position or has low gearing. That only represents balance sheet strength. We should also want the company to have earnings visibility.
King Wan is in a net cash position and it also has an order book that would provide earnings visibility until 2018. Just like how I like Hock Lian Seng's order book which provides earnings visibility until 2020, I like the health of King Wan's order book too.
As I invest primarily for income, I am also attracted to King Wan because they pay dividends regularly. A DPS of about 1.5c per year seems undemanding given their more normalised EPS of about 2c.
What do I mean by normalised EPS?
Well, I know that King Wan made quite a bit of money from savvy investments which gave them extraordinary gains at times but it is the health of their core businesses' which is more important in helping to determine sustainability of their dividend payouts.
So, at a price of 30c a share, for example, a 1.5c DPS, representing a pay out ratio of 75%, gives us a dividend yield of 5%. Doesn't sound too bad, right? Then, why did I not buy some of its stock?
Well, as I shared with Solace in a chat before, I have a certain amount of money to be allocated and, after some thought, I decided to put King Wan in the same category as Hock Lian Seng which comparatively gave a higher dividend yield with a lower payout ratio of about 40%.
Am I going to invest in King Wan now, I asked myself, as Hock Lian Seng's stock price has shot through the roof? Why not a nibble?
OK, if Mr. Market should give me a better offer, I might.
Related post:
Tea with Solace: King Wan Corp. Ltd.