Golden Agriculture and Goldman Sachs

Crude palm oil (CPO) closed down RM4 today at RM2,626 (US$777). Nothing to shout about but Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for CPO prices today to US$850 this year and that prices may increase to US$950 next year. This gave some much needed fuel to push Golden Agriculture higher, reaching a high of 61c before closing at 60.5c. This move came on the back of respectably high volume and there is a chance that the target price of 62c might be attained in the next session. If 62c is taken out, the next eventual target is 69c which was a support level that broke in late July 08. As is my usual style, I would hedge by divesting partially at resistance and take some profit off the table.

Healthway Medical: Black spinning top

19.5c remains a stubborn resistance level which refuses to be taken out. Price action started the day at 19c, reached a high of 19.5, only to close at 18.5c, forming a black spinning top in the process. This is often a sign of a probable bearish reversal. MFI shows the buying momentum continuing to level off and the OBV shows that accumulation has halted. The only consolation is that all these negative signs are accompanied by much reduced trading volume.

With this week's spectacular run up in price, new support and resistance levels should be drawn. Using Fibo lines, we identify initial support at 16.5c (61.8%), 16c (50%) and a stronger support at 15c (38.2%). Eventual target at 19.5c is still the resistance to watch. If 19.5c is taken out, the next eventual target is 24c.

It is hard to maximise gains but we can always optimise gains and to do so, we cannot go very wrong selling at resistance and buying at supports in an uptrend.