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Golden Agriculture: Reversal confirmed.

Thursday, January 28, 2010


Golden Agriculture closed at 52.5c, confirming the reversal signal given by the inverted hammer yesterday. The critical support at 50c held.  The MACD has a buy signal today with a green histogram after more than 2 weeks' worth of red ones.  MFI is at 29% and this leaves much room for its price to move up if indeed that's the direction in the next few sessions.

A new set of Fibo lines show resistance at 56c (38.2%) which happens to coincide with the 20dMA, 58c (50%) and 59.5c (61.8%).

I did not manage to get any at 50c, the critical support level, but that's ok as I have been accumulating shares of Golden Agriculture as its price moved downwards this and last week.

The fundamentals for crude palm oil remains compelling and I would accumulate shares of Golden Agriculture if its price weakens to supports instead of moving up in the near future.

Healthway Medical: Waiting for a pullback.

Healthway Medical closed at 17c on low volume and a declining MFI.  We can see from the line I've drawn on the MFI that the buying momentum did not bounce off the line which would have meant a strong follow through in the buying momentum.  Let us see if the rising 20dMA could push the price higher as the Bollinger bands begin to squeeze.

Trading volume has been on a downward trend since peaking in the first week of trading in 2010 on 7 Jan.  Conventional wisdom is that if volume does not expand meaningfully, any price movement upwards is unlikely to be durable, especially for a counter with a huge float such as this one.



Looking at the weekly chart gives a more sobering picture.  Healthway Medical's recent candlesticks are largely beyond the upper limits of the Bollinger bands and the MFI is firmly entrenched in the overbought region.  In fact, it is getting more overbought by the week.  I will wait for a pullback before accumulating more shares of this company.


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