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Capitaland: Partial divestment at $2.48.

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Just two days ago, on 17 January, I said that I see resistance at $2.48. I got this from the weekly chart as that was resistance provided by the declining 20wMA and the 138.2% Fibo line.

So, I put in an overnight sell order at $2.48 and it was filled later in the session today.



In very bullish circumstances, we could see $2.50 and $2.53 taken out with ease. With the formation of a long white candle on the back of very high volume, this could indeed be the case. The MACD has just crossed into positive territory and this signals the return of positive buying momentum.

In such an instance, we could see $2.65 or even $2.75 tested. It would be a sight to behold. Remember, however, that TA is about probability. Nothing is for certain.

Relates post:
Capitaland: Resistance at $2.48.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Partial divestment.

Tomorrow will see the release of quarterly results for AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT. As if in anticipation of a good set of numbers, its unit price pushed higher today on higher volume, closing at $1.00.

Last month, I accumulated units of the REIT at 93.5c, 94c and 95c. Why did I buy? At those prices, the REIT was very undervalued. Indeed, I was waiting to accumulate at 92c too but the lowest it went to was 92.5c. I blogged about it: here.


Today, my overnight sell order at 99c was filled, locking in some gains. I believe the REIT is still undervalued and I sold not because of valuation concerns. Then, why did I sell?

I sold because I want to rebalance my portfolio. With the acquisitions I made last month, the REIT's weight in my portfolio has tipped somewhat. Also, technically, $1.00 seems to be the upper end of a trading range. So, divesting partially, closer to resistance, makes sense.



Notice how the Stochastics has stayed in overbought territory for quite a long time now. In a range bound situation, the risk of a downward movement in price is, therefore, higher. However, in very bullish circumstances, momentum oscillators could stay overbought for a long time. In case resistance at $1.00 is taken out, I expect resistance provided by the 200dMA at $1.02 to come into play.

My remaining investment in the REIT is still a substantial part of my core investment for passive income. This is unlikely to change.


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