Sound Global: Accumulate on weakness.

Despite rather positive reports, the share price of Sound Global has been in retreat. Mr Market agrees with my earlier musings in July and August on whether it was a good time to sell, it seems.

Mr. Wen Yibo has been accumulating shares of Sound Global in the last one month and currently holds 56.2% of the shares. He probably knows something that we don't but even if we do not know what he knows, what information is publicly available shows that the fundamentals of Sound Global are sound and that the business is growing.

Technically, Sound Global's share price is experiencing weakness since forming a double top two months ago. The top was at 62c and the neckline at 55c. This suggests a downside target of 48c.

If we draw a trendline connecting the highs since early August, we see a resistance line that approximates the position of the declining 20d MA. Failing to stay above the immediate support at 51c and failing to break out of the down trend could indeed see share price moving to 48c.

What then? I would buy more.

Related post:
Sound Global: Retest of resistance likely.

China Minzhong: Opportunity in slowing momentum.

A big part of my portfolio is invested for income while the remainder is invested for capital gains. In both instances, once I stop adding to my long positions, the main thing to do is to wait. Wait to collect regular income in the first instance and wait to lock in gains in the second.

I will have more income distributions from S-REITs in November and December. Possibly, there will be dividends to be collected from some stocks as well. I am not too sure as I have not noted the precise dates for some time now.

I also invested in a few stocks, believing that they could deliver some nice capital gains. One such stock is China Minzhong and the last time I blogged about it was about a month ago, declaring that its stock price was emerging from a downtrend. Since then, its stock price has moved to touch a high of 85c.

OBV shows continuing accumulation while the RSI shows the formation of higher lows. There is some support. However, the lower high on the MACD which formed as a higher high formed in stock price, together with the reducing volume as price pushed higher, suggest a weaker positive momentum.

A rising wedge also seems to have formed and this suggests that the stock price could see a retreat in the near term. However, wedges are not terribly reliable patterns and the bearish signal we see here could be negated if volume should simply expand with an upward movement in stock price.

In the event that the rising wedge should deliver, we could expect a correction to see the share price retreat to 68.5c thereabouts. Before that, we could see some support at 75c. The immediate support is at 80c.

The weekly chart is somewhat more encouraging as the MACD has just moved into positive territory. Unlike the daily chart, there is no negative divergence observed here. The longer term picture suggests that any pull back in price is an opportunity to accumulate. The 100w MA, approximately at $1.10 now, could put an eventual cap to any upward movement in stock price in case it should happen.

Related post:
China Minzhong: Emerging from a down trend.