SembCorp Marine: A nibble.

Shareholders of Marco Polo Marine would remember that they ordered an oil rig from SembCorp Marine earlier this year. The value of the contract was about US$214 million. That is a lot of money. SembCorp Marine is a leader in the building of oil rigs, of course, and they have an impressive order book.

That led me to wonder if it might be a good idea to be a shareholder of SembCorp Marine too and benefit from Marco Polo Marine's purchase of the oil rig. Yes, I know. I am so greedy. Bad AK, bad AK!

SembCorp Marine was trading at about $4 to $4.20 a share back in February. The stock price was in a downtrend. (It still is.) Support was at around $3.90. The moving averages were all descending and the momentum oscillators were not supportive. (They still aren't.) So, there was a good chance that prices could go lower.

The many times tested support at $3.90 gave way eventually and, this morning, stock price hit a low of $3.54 a share. The CMF hinted that selling pressure has reduced. It could be that some short positions were being covered and it could be because this is the last trading day of the week.

Ahead of a long weekend, short sellers might think it safer to close their positions. Selling could resume next week or it might not. So, with share price more than 10% lower than it was in February, I wondered if I should wait a bit more or buy this morning?

I took a look at some numbers:

From a valuation perspective, the stock is more reasonably priced now. In April 2011, when it touched a high of $6 a share, it was trading at a PE ratio of 16.66x. Pretty high. Mr Market obviously expected better earnings to come but better earnings did not come.

Today, share price touched a low of $3.54 in the morning. At that price, assuming an EPS of 24c, annualising 1H 2014's figures, we are looking at a PE ratio of 14.75x. This would seem like a fairer valuation although still not cheap.

If we believe that oil is still going to be an important energy source in the world and if we believe that any weakness in oil prices is temporary, then, weakness in the share prices of rig builders with good track records like SembCorp Marine presents an opportunity to get in at more reasonable valuations.

As I like to be paid while I wait, I looked at the dividend payout record of SembCorp Marine:

It seems to me that SembCorp Marine normally pays out about 50% of their earnings as dividends to shareholders and more during good years with better earnings. An 11c to 13c DPS would mean a dividend yield of 3.1% to 3.67%, given an entry price of $3.54 a share. As an investment for growth and income, I feel that this is pretty decent.

So, although a PE ratio of 14.75x  does not look cheap, I decided to initiate a long position this morning at $3.56 a share. A nibble, so to speak. Didn't throw in too much and definitely not the kitchen sink. Continuing weakness could see gap cover happening at $3.30 and for people who believe that gaps will eventually be covered, it could be worth waiting a bit more.

What would I do if price should test $3.30? I would probably be buying more.

Related post:
Marco Polo Marine: Drilling for higher income.

A H&S story: Make money that helps us spend less money.

Hospitalisation and surgery (H&S) insurance coverage is a must have for everyone. What might not be perceived as a must have is the rider that is usually offered and one possible reason is that this is an out of pocket item which means that we cannot use our Medisave savings to pay for it.

However, I am quite happy to pay for the rider and will encourage anyone who can afford the rider to get it. Early last year, I shared that:

"So, it means that I only have to pay 10% of my total medical bills if I were to be hospitalised and this 10% has an annual cap of $3,000 in my case. So, if my hospitalisation and related bills were to total more than $30,000 in any year, I would still pay a maximum of only $3,000."

Hospitalisation bills could turn out to be quite burdensome. Knowing that I have only got to pay $3,000 even if my bills should exceed $30,000 in any one year gives me peace of mind.

The rider costs more as we age but don't let that dissuade us from having it because the rider will become even more important as we age. Why?

The chances of being hospitalised and of being hospitalised for many more days per visit will only go up as we age. This is quite natural. So, naturally, we should keep the rider. Simple.

So, in the case of my mom, I told her I will pay for her H&S rider if she cannot afford it. I would rather pay for the H&S rider and also the maximum of $3,000 annually in case of hospitalisation than to pay the regular deductible and co-insurance with each stay in a hospital for her. There is no way of telling how much these might cost on a per visit and per year basis but with the H&S rider, I know how much I should be prepared to pay every year.

If only risk management was always so easy.

Get ourselves and our loved ones insured well and we will not have to fear big hospitalisation bills that will one day come to us. This is simple enough to understand. So, for those of you who have yet to act on this, there is no time to lose.

Of course, I understand that it is a pain having to pay for anything. It would be wonderful if everything in this world was free but that would remain a dream. So, we work so hard to make money only to see the money going to pay for all the expenses in life? I know the feeling. Ouch.

Well, it would be less painful if the money used to pay for all the expenses in life were money that we did not work so hard to make. Huh? Well, what if it were money that was made by money that we worked hard to make? OK, I am sure you get the idea now.

Make some money that will help us spend less money especially on necessities in life. H&S and the rider are two such necessities.

Related posts:
1. How to get free medical insurance?
2. Enhanced Incomeshield for my mom.