3Q 2018 passive income (non-REITs): APTT.

In August 2018, I also received questions about APTT as its unit price plunged.

In one way or another, I was asked whether I was buying APTT again like I did when its unit price plunged in the past.

Regular readers might remember that I said APTT's 6.5c DPU was unsustainable and a more realistic DPU was 4c.





When I bought more APTT in the past, it was based on what I thought a reasonable and sustainable DPU would look like.

The purchase was not premised on what APTT was distributing at that point in time.

Please keep this in mine as I continue talking to myself.





Although APTT's very high debt level and the fact that they are running a deficit is worrisome, again, I remind myself that all investments are good at the right price.

The last time I bought into APTT, my premise was a realistic distribution yield of around 10.5% based on a sustainable DPU of 4c.

If we were to consider the higher risk that comes with an environment of rising interest rate, shaving 10% off what I thought was a more sustainable DPU then is not unreasonable, given APTT's highly indebted nature.

Now, a DPU of 3.6c is surely more sustainable.





Then, if we were to demand the same 10.5% yield like before, we would only be buyers at about 33.5c a piece (or lower).

Therefore, I wasn't interested in buying APTT in August 2018 as I didn't think it was priced attractively enough.

I also had a feeling that APTT's unit price might drift lower upon going XD as Mr. Market was feeling rather pessimistic.

Finally, weeks later, in late September, I took a bite of APTT.





If I didn't have anything else to invest in, I would have taken a bigger bite as I believe closer to 30c a piece, APTT compensates me sufficiently for the risk I am taking.

Having said this, everything else being equal, I would probably be accumulating APTT if Mr. Market should make me even better offers in future.

APTT is not going to implode anytime soon.

A safer distribution yield in excess of 10.5% is rather difficult to ignore.

3Q 2018 passive income (non-REITs): QAF.

In 3Q 2018, I also received questions from readers on QAF and they were similar to this comment from 9 August 2018:

Reader said...

at the current price weakness and offering a dividend yield of almost 6%, will u still considering nibbling??


AK said...

QAF is now trading at a discount to NAV and there is also some insider buying activity.

I would buy some if I weren't already invested and if I didn't have other investments that are tempting me to buy more as well. ;)







Revenue and earnings have been declining at QAF as they face rather challenging conditions.

They are spending more on advertising to defend their bakery business while their pork business in Australia continues to face oversupply pressure.

Having said this, QAF is rather conservative and has a pretty strong balance sheet.

Although I feel that QAF is still able to sustain a DPS of 4c or even 5c based on the strength of their balance sheet while waiting for improvement, I am prepared for a lower DPS which is probably a prudent thing to have.





Although tempted to add to my investment in QAF, with limited resources, I decided that other investment opportunities in many ways were more attractive in 3Q 2018.

For example, both from an earnings and relative dividend sustainability perspective, Centurion is more attractive.

Another example, from a discount to NAV and prospective dividend yield perspective, Accordia Golf Trust is much more attractive.

However, if Mr. Market is to become even more pessimistic about QAF, all else being equal, I might buy some.