Accordia Golf Trust: 60% premium or an offer of $1.21 a unit?

Some readers might remember Saizen REIT and Croesus Retail Trust.

They were two of my largest investments in the past.

If you are new to my blog and are interested in finding out more,

See:
History with Croesus Retail Trust.

Also see:
How much did I make from Saizen REIT? Offer by Lone Star.

Although I made good money in both cases, it was a challenge trying to find new investments for income that could even come close to what Saizen REIT and Croesus Retail Trust were doing for me.

To make it worse, they were relatively large investments for me and, therefore, harder to replace totally.






Why the sudden nostalgia?

Well, it seems that Accordia Golf Trust could go the same way Saizen REIT and Croesus Retail Trust went.

Accordia Golf Trust requested for a trading halt and issued a statement.

Part of the statement:

"... it has received a non-binding proposal in connection with a potential transaction which may or may not lead to a divestment of AGT's interests in all of its golf courses..."

I have mixed feelings about this.







I have been increasing my investment in Accordia Golf Trust as I believe it is undervalued.

I believe that it can be a more rewarding investment for income, given time.

See:
Why invest in Accordia Golf Trust?

I kept increasing my investment and, recently, it rose into the next bracket in my list of largest investments.

See:
Largest investments (4Q 2019).

My investment in Accordia Golf Trust is now basically similar in size to my past investment in Croesus Retail Trust.

A video clip by Accordia Golf Trust:







I hope the offer is going to be similarly compelling or more compelling if it should happen.

If we recall, Accordia Golf Trust's parent was sold to MBK at a 60% premium to NAV.

Could we see a similar premium for Accordia Golf Trust?

With a NAV per unit of 76 cents, that would mean an offer price of $1.21 or so.

Round it down to $1.20 a unit?

Sure, it is OK.

I am not greedy.

Well, I am just speculating.

It is healthy to daydream, I was told.






Accordia Golf Trust last traded at 60 cents a unit.

Still undervalued, I believe that Accordia Golf Trust still offers good value for investors.

However, the news of a non-binding proposal could attract speculators and I would avoid chasing rising prices.

I will just wait and see what happens next.

Recently published:
Are stock prices coming down?

Are stock prices coming down but do we know what we are doing?

There has been talk about how a stock market crash is much overdue for some time now.

What do I think?

Well, I can tell you that the stock market will crash sometime in the future.

What I cannot tell you is when it would exactly happen.

Brilliant, isn't it?

Cannot go wrong with saying something like this.






I always say that we cannot predict when Mr. Market might go into a depression but we can most certainly prepare for it.

Think war chest.

Always have some money put aside in case opportunity knocks.

We don't have to be in a hurry to put all our money to work.

If there is nothing worth investing in, just sit on cash.

I certainly do not have any trouble sitting on cash and collecting dividends.

In fact, I rather like it.

See:
Revisiting AK's strategy with Charlie Munger.






1. If we own stocks of good businesses that are able to generate meaningful income for us

and

2. if we did not use borrowed funds or use funds which we might need for other purposes to do so,

why do we have to worry about stock prices going down?

In fact, we should be happy because we would be able to buy more stocks and have a larger share of these businesses if prices go down.

As investors, we really don't have to look at prices every single day.

If we are speculators, that is a different thing.







So, if we find ourselves worrying about price movements, ask ourselves if we are investors or speculators?

It is a world of difference.

People do frequently get so confused.

The worst thing that can happen, in my opinion, is when speculators think that they are investors.

There is nothing wrong with speculating but we have to know that we are speculating.

Don't know what I mean?

For example, see:
Investing or speculating in real estate?






Now, what about being an investor or a trader?

Well, we can do both.

We can have some trading positions and some investments at the same time.

Indeed, I can be investing in a stock and trading it at the same time.

Remember trading around a core position?

See:
Trading around a core position.

So, should we worry about stock prices coming down?

Well, we should really be asking if we know what we are doing?

"If you worry about corrections, you shouldn't own stocks." Warren Buffett

Watch the video:






Related posts:
1. Ready to come out on top? Part 1.
2. Ready to come out on top? Part 2.
3. Lost life savings and now in debt.
4. My final word on Bitcoin.