EPS tumbled by more than 30% and yet Yongnam's share price stayed resilient today.
2.17c (2007)
2.79c (2008)
3.27c (2009)
5.06c (2011)
3.45c (2012)
Buying in when I did at 24.5c a share in February 2012 a year ago, it was at a PER of 3.7x, using EPS of 5.06c from the year 2011. A PER of 3.7x is pretty cheap.
Paying 24.5c a share was also approximately at a P/BV ratio of 1.04x. Yongnam's assets are a strong reason why it has a durable competitive advantage. To amass the volume and type of productive assets like Yongnam's is not an easy feat. So, paying slightly more than book value is, I believe, more than reasonable.
Although in the longer term, Yongnam is likely to benefit from Singapore government's commitment to build a more extensive MRT network through 2030, its near term performance could be lacklustre. This might or might not be reflected in its share price.
At 28c a share, PER is now 8.12x. Although not expensive, it is not cheap either.
Anyone buying into Yongnam now is buying into a strong belief that much better days are ahead for the company. Indeed, with its strong track record over the years, there is no reason to believe otherwise.
Technically, however, it is obvious that 29.5c is the immediate resistance and the selling pressure could be quite strong if it should be tested again.
"Outlook for the construction industry both in Singapore and the region remains positive as governments step up on infrastructural spending for projects like roads, railways and airports.
"Yongnam’s strong competitive advantage in the Structural Steelworks and Specialist Civil Engineering infrastructural works is expected to support the Group’s active pursuit of approximately S$1.3 billion worth of new projects in Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia, India, Indonesia and the Middle East."
See slide presentation: here.
See news release: here.
Related post:
Yongnam: Broke resistance! 29.5c tested.