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Cooling measures for cars spurned.

Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Today, a report by Channel NewsAsia revealed that people are falling into debt because of the high cost of car ownership in Singapore. So, the measures by the MAS limiting car loans to 60% of the purchase price and imposing a maximum duration of 5 years in repayment period are good to have.

In fact, MAS should do more to educate the general public and to encourage financial prudence.


However, in the same report, it was revealed that "some credit companies that do not fall under MAS regulations are continuing to offer car loans of up to 90 per cent of the purchase price, although at interest rates of up to 3.88 per cent, up from an average of about 1.88 per cent before the new rules kicked in last week."

How is it that some companies do not fall under MAS regulations? Shouldn't the authorities plug the loophole? Good measures are only good if they can be 100% enforced.

With interest rate more than doubled from 1.88% to 3.88%, the cost of borrowing has become much weightier. I hope car buyers thinking of exploiting this loophole think and think again.

Take for example a 1.6 litre Japanese make with a price tag of $120,000. A 90% loan would mean a principal sum of $108,000. This is definitely not loose change.

A 1.88% interest rate over a 10 year period would mean paying $20,304 in interest. With interest rate at 3.88%, the same car loan would carry an interest payment of $41,904!

The interest payment over a 10 year period is equal to the annual earned income of some junior executives! Of course, we have yet to consider the running costs of a car.

Also, consider this. At the end of the 10 year period, the 1.6 litre Japanese car probably has a residual value of less than $10,000 (assuming an OMV of less than $20,000). This means that the car would have depreciated by more than 90%.

Total loss over 10 years: $151,904.

This is almost enough to pay for a brand new BTO 3 room flat in some parts of Singapore.

Related post:
Cooling measures for cars.

Sound Global: Lost 17.2% in a day.

Monday, March 4, 2013

Sound Global's chart looks bad and this is probably an understatement.

The black candle formed today is probably the ugliest I have seen in a long time. Gapping down and breaking through all the MAs, it was a headlong plunge.


Could we see share price sinking even lower from here? It looks like it could happen with the MACD diving steeply into negative territory and if it should happen, the next level of support is at 49c.

Fundamentally, I am concerned about the higher finance costs but they are not so destructive as to sink the company. It is still a very profitable company.

My estimate is that EPS could reduce some 20 to 25% this year, everything else remaining equal. If Mr. Market is unhappy with this, he could send share price back to test the low of May 2012 at 45c a share. With the estimated reduced EPS in mind, at 45c, we would be looking at a PER of 9x.

See Sound Global's financial statements: here.

Related post:
Sound Global: Full divestment.


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