A reader who attended last Saturday's event sent me an email asking me about IREIT Global because he got in during its IPO and he is now worried after hearing what I had to say.
I was puzzled because I asked if anyone was invested in the REIT on Saturday but there was no indication that anyone was.
Anyway, for those who are interested, I did not say anything new last Saturday.
Please see related post at the end of this blog.
Basically, I again explained why I avoided investing in IREIT Global when they had their IPO middle of last year.
I also said that people who invested in the REIT because of the expected 8% distribution yield would probably be disappointed.
So, what is the expected yield now?
The Euro has been in a downtrend against the S$.
Today, the exchange rate is one Euro to S$1.54 which is much lower than it was middle of last year at S$1.70.
Based on the estimated income available for distribution to unit holders of Euro 8.3 million (6 months) and approximately 419 million units in issue, annualising the DPU in S$ terms now gives us a distribution yield of about 6.8%.
IREIT Global's unit price has retreated since hitting a high of 90.5c a unit.
Will IREIT Global's unit price go much lower?
It looks like it could, especially if Mr. Market still demands an 8% distribution yield.
What? Take a stab in the dark?
Er, well, if the annualised DPU is 6.1c, to get an 8% yield, the REIT would have to trade at 75c a unit which is some 15% lower than its IPO price of 88c a unit.
Related post:
IREIT Global: Distribution yield of 8% safe?