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Golden Agriculture: Short term uptrend broken.

Saturday, January 15, 2011

The negative divergence between the rising share price and falling MACD which we have observed for weeks is showing its colors. Price broke support at 78.5c provided by the 20dMA on 10 Jan and, in the last session, fell to test support at 76c provided by the rising 50dMA.

Price falling below the 20dMA suggests that the shorter term uptrend could be over. Drawing a trendline support linking the lows of 8 Oct and 24 Nov verifies this as price closed below this support for the first time in months.

How low could the price fall to? No one can say for sure but drawing a trendline support linking the lows of 30 Sep and 8 Oct coincides with the rising 100dMA and, to me, this suggests a much stronger support at this level and would be a more ideal entry point. The 100dMA is currently at 68.5c.

Fundamentally, I believe that demand for Crude Palm Oil would remain strong with higher consumption in Asia. I would look out for a chance to accumulate on any sharp pullbacks.

Related post:
Golden Agriculture (3 Jan 11)


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