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CapitaMalls Asia: Partial divestment at $1.78.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

In my last blog post on CapitaMalls Asia, I suggested that I could divest at $1.78 and I did so today. Using a Fibo fan, it is interesting to see how opening at $1.78 today is exactly where we find resistance provided by the 61.8% fanline. 61.8%, being one of the three golden ratios, is likely to be a strong resistance and so it was today.

If price action should break the resistance provided by the 61.8% fanline in the next couple of sessions, we could see the 100dMA tested as resistance ultimately. This is currently at $1.89. Sounds exciting? Of course it does but there is $1.83 to contend with first as that is likely to be a very strong resistance too. Sounds tougher now, doesn't it? This is especially so when we realise that volume has been reducing in the last few sessions (see orange line).

One wonders if the trendline support that started on 15 March could hold or would it break. If price should pull back in the next session, support is at $1.73. If the hypothesis that we could be entering a rangebound, sideways trading turns out to be correct, we should take heed of the Stochastics which shows a bearish crossover to be completed in overbought territory. This hypothesis finds support in the ADX as well which, at the moment, suggests that there is no strong trend in this counter's price action.

Having made a partial divestment at $1.78 today, I would still benefit from a continuing upward movement in price if it should take place. If price should weaken instead, I would be able to load up with less reservation.

Related post:
CapitaMalls Asia: Testing resistance.


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