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28 Dec 09: Saizen REIT, Golden Agriculture, Healthway Medical

Monday, December 28, 2009

Got more Saizen REIT today at 14.5c. >800 lots sell down today. Happened in the last few minutes of the trading day. Easily absorbed by the long buy queue. Counterparty: Kim Eng. I checked the last annual report. Kim Eng had 6.9m shares. Kim Eng could easily push the price down to 14c which would gel with the support seen in the daily chart. 14c? I'm buying more. Charts for Saizen REIT

Crude palm oil at RM 2,591, up RM 37 or 1.45%. I took some profit selling 20% of my current position in Golden Agriculture at 49.5c today. Not enough buyers to punch through 50c today. I will buy again if the price sinks to support and if the volume remains lacklustre, this might very well happen. Charts for Golden Agriculture

Healthway Medical makes me happy today. Yesterday, when I met up with friends for lunch, I repeated my believe that this is an investment that will do very well in time. So, I would continue to hold on to what I have and would buy more if the price weakens. Today, there were strong buy ups and its price closed at 13c, resisted by the rising 100dMA. Volume was a respectable 11.3m. OBV shows strong accumulation. All the momentum oscillators have turned up strongly. If the buying momentum continues in the next few sessions, a re-test of 14.5c, the brim of the previous cup formation, is on hand. Charts for Healthway Medical

Gold as an insurance against inflation

Why buy gold? For me, gold is just another form of insurance against inflation. Real assets such as crude oil, Asian real estate and commodities are also used to hedge against inflation.

Gold will hit US$2.5k eventually and, probably, go higher in the years to come. The current inflation adjusted value of gold compared to the high achieved in 1980 should be about US$2.4k now. We are about halfway there. If we believe that inflation is going to be a big issue in the coming years, it's a no brainer that gold is on a long term uptrend. Real value of gold

However, I'm not overzealous about gold because I am not living in the USA or HK, making US$ or HK$. I am living in Singapore and making S$ which will appreciate against US$ and HK$ in time. This makes gold investment less compelling for me.

Frankly, I still prefer trading in the stockmarket and buying undervalued and/or strong dividend paying stocks for now. My gains in the stockmarket so far this year have outperformed gold or silver. Cashflow is also something I get from my stockmarket investments that I do not get from gold. However, all parties will come to an end. Will have to know when to exit the stockmarket.


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