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Saizen REIT: Positive newsflow.

Friday, January 29, 2010

Saizen REIT's CEO bought another 100 lots at 16c yesterday.  Persistent insider buying is a hallmark of this REIT.  A positive development on its loan for YK Keizan has also eliminated the need to draw on a bridging loan which would have entailed considerable interest expense.  YK Keizan's loan would be fully repaid using only internal resources by April.

Saizen REIT closed at 15.5c today.  I might get my wish next week to buy more at this price.  If I am lucky, I might even get to buy more at the 100dMA.  This coincides with a longer term 38.2% Fibo line and is likely to be a strong support.  That's at 15c.

Saizen REIT will be presenting its results on 11 Feb, just before the Chinese New Year.  That gels with my chart reading on a probable breakout timing on the upside.  A narrowing of the Bollinger bands gives some credence to this reading as well.  Initial breakout targets remain at 19c and 21c for now.

Golden Agriculture: Reversal confirmed.

Thursday, January 28, 2010


Golden Agriculture closed at 52.5c, confirming the reversal signal given by the inverted hammer yesterday. The critical support at 50c held.  The MACD has a buy signal today with a green histogram after more than 2 weeks' worth of red ones.  MFI is at 29% and this leaves much room for its price to move up if indeed that's the direction in the next few sessions.

A new set of Fibo lines show resistance at 56c (38.2%) which happens to coincide with the 20dMA, 58c (50%) and 59.5c (61.8%).

I did not manage to get any at 50c, the critical support level, but that's ok as I have been accumulating shares of Golden Agriculture as its price moved downwards this and last week.

The fundamentals for crude palm oil remains compelling and I would accumulate shares of Golden Agriculture if its price weakens to supports instead of moving up in the near future.


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