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AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: New SS.

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

There is a new substantial shareholder for this REIT: Dragon Pacific Assets Limited.

No. of Shares held before the change: 38,985,000

No. of Shares which are subject of this notice: 66,693,000

No. of Shares held after the change: 105,678,000
As a percentage of issued share capital: 7.21%

Reason given:  Acquisition for investment purposes.

Many are probably wondering who are the sellers as this is probably a married deal. The volume is really very high.  Fundamentally, more substantial shareholders with a longer term investment horizon is good for the REIT. They would give a stronger floor to the unit price and, therefore, a firmer platform for possible future price appreciation.




Technically, the big sell down today at 22.5c sent the MFI crashing into the oversold region. The MFI has also formed a lower high.  What we see now is a negative divergence with price which has moved up to test the long term resistance of 23c in recent sessions.  23c remains a formidable resistance.

OBV dropped a notch and the MACD seems ready to form a bearish crossover with the signal line.  With XD date approaching in another 3 days, a pull back in the unit price of this REIT is probable.  In such an instance, expect initial support at 22c and a stronger support at 21.5c, the midpoint of the trading range (20c to 23c).  Good luck to fellow unitholders.

CapitaMalls Asia: Sell on news?

The market seems unimpressed with CapitaMalls Asia's results.  Price tried moving higher, touched a high of $2.18 before declining to close unchanged at $2.16. The MACD is back in positive territory which suggests that we are once again seeing positive momentum in price movement.




Although the rising MFI suggests a strong demand, the OBV has turned flat in the last two sessions which suggests that neither accumulators nor distributors have the upper hand. Therefore, the lower volumes in the last two sessions as the price tried to move higher should be taken as a strong cautionary note.

Having said all these, it is worthwhile noting that price has closed above the 100dMA again even though it's a black candle day.  If the 100dMA is confirmed as the new support, price could move higher.


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