Golden Agriculture: Black spinning top.

Golden Agriculture started the day bullishly enough but ended the day at 72.5c after touching immediate support at 72c. A black spinning top was formed, suggesting market indecision. This could be a reversal signal as indecision in an uptrend is not good news for bulls.

Support is currently provided by the flat 100dMA. With the momentum oscillators in their overbought territories, a pull back is not unlikely. Breaking support at 72c could bring out the sellers. However, the steeper uptrend which started on 15 March would still be intact if its trendline support holds up and this would be at 70c or so in the next two sessions. If this were to fail, the next supports are at 68.5c (50dMA) and 66c (200dMA).


Related post:
Golden Agriculture: Overcame resistance at 72c.

CapitaMalls Asia: $2.17 target price?

I remember that someone told me that DBS Vickers had a target price of $2.51 for CapitaMalls Asia and wondered why the share price of this company has been so weak. Well, valuation is a subjective exercise.

For example, OCBC Investment Research published a report with a target price of $2.17 for CapitaMalls Asia on 7 April 2011. Yes, this was just a few days ago. Does it mean that the share price is going to hit $2.17 in the next few days? It could happen, of course, but I won't bet my bottom dollar on it.

Having said this, it is always good to see what others have to say and OCBC Investment Research did raise some good points:

For CMA, China is the key growth market. CMA has three key operational advantages in China: Firstly, it has the ability to leverage on its extensive tenant network. Second, it has demonstrated diligence and success in using asset enhancement initiatives (AEIs) to grow its net property income (NPI). Thirdly, there would be a trend of decreasing dependence on anchor tenants as malls mature and this would further boost NPI.

CMA’s business model in China is a resilient one due to its focus on mid-high income segment instead of the volatile high growth-high margin luxury segment. While its downside is sheltered, CMA is poised to benefit from the expected steady growth in China’s retail consumption and middle class population.

Read full report here.

Related post:
CapitaMalls Asia: Strong uptrend emerging.