First REIT: Partial divestment?

I like First REIT and it remains one of my largest investments. I like the low gearing and high yield. I like the strength of its sponsor and what it has planned for the future. In a blog post, I said fair value for First REIT is at 80c per unit. I still believe it to be so. In fact, I bought more at 73c and 73.5c in early April 2011.

Today, over lunch with some friends, there was mention of a bearish divergence in First REIT's chart. I decided that this bears looking into since LP, the blogmaster of Bully the Bear, who is definitely more accomplished in TA than I am recently divested some units at 76.5c. Indeed, in my blog post of 11 April 2011, I wondered whether First REIT could retest 77c, the high of January 2011 and if there is a bearish divergence, a partial divestment at 77c might not be a bad idea.

Looking at the daily chart, we see the declining 200dMA approximating 80c, a happy coincidence with my perceived fair value of the REIT per unit. However, the high of 77c in January 2011 is obviously a major resistance to overcome before a test of 80c is possible.

Price action is pushing the upper Bollinger and the momentum oscillators are bordering overbought. It seems that there is positive momentum and support. However, looking at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), we get a hint of possible weakness to come.

The CMF is an oscillator that measures buying and selling pressure over a period of time. The CMF in this case has been negative and getting more so as price moved higher. This gives rise to a bearish divergence. Buying pressure has reduced. It could be, therefore, prudent to divest partially.

As usual, TA is about probability. If price were to break resistance at 77c and move higher, I expect strong resistance at 80c.  If price were to move lower, I expect strong support in the region of 74c. So, a partial divestment at 77c could mean possibly losing a further 3c gain or being able to buy back at 3c lower.

Related post:
First REIT: XR and fair value.
First REIT: Bought more at 73c.
First REIT: Bought more at 73.5c.

Should guys use hand moisturisers?

When I have a problem, I look for solutions. It does not matter if the solution is frowned upon by people sometimes because I am very practical. For example, for many years now, I have been using hand moisturisers. Are some of you frowning now? A guy using hand moisturiser? Well, if that's your reaction, you are a sexist! Think about it. ;)

Why did I start using hand moisturisers? For one reason, to prevent paper cuts! I work in an office which is air conditioned and has very dry air. As we grow older, our skin also gets drier. Working with documents and pushing paper daily, I was a victim of multiple paper cuts. Just the thought of it makes me cringe! Ouch! Solution? Use hand moisturisers. Keeping our skin moist and supple will reduce paper cut incidents.

Over the years, I have used many different hand moisturisers. I like Nivea and Jergens as they are inexpensive. Actually, from time to time, I would find these on special offer at Guardian Pharmacy. You could get a small tube for $1.95 and they are perfect to go in your briefcase, slingbag or handbag.  Of course, these days, we have manbags (i.e. the male version of handbags). Here is a photo of one I carry in my slingbag all the time:

I go to bed with the air-conditioning on the whole night and that is very drying. So, I use a moisturiser for the hands and feet before I go to sleep. For the feet too?  Yes, for the feet too. After a hard day at work with walking and standing, that's exactly what our feet need. Massage the moisturiser into our feet and we will feel a big difference before going to dreamland. For that, I use an "atas" (Malay for "upmarket") moisturiser from Aesop. Here is a photo of the pump size version which I have on my bedside table:

They also come in tubes which I buy for use when I travel and as gifts for friends. LP, the blogmaster of Bully the Bear, has threatened me with decapitation before because Mrs. LP likes the moisturiser so much that she has bought another two tubes thus far. Sigh, the unexpected perils of a well liked gift!

Another one which I like is from Body Shop. Now, I do not usually like products from Body Shop but I like this hand moisturiser because of the almond scent. I have a weakness for almond. It is less expensive compared to Aesop at less than half the price. I always wait for a sale at Body Shop before buying anything from them. Unlike products from Aesop, I do not think it is worth paying the full price for any Body Shop products.

If you are a guy and if you think that hand moisturisers are only for females, think again. ;-)


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Related posts:
Tea with AK71: Hand sanitiser.