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Mark Mobius on China.

Thursday, February 14, 2013

The long weekend saw me doing more reading than usual. I also read why Mark Mobius, the executive chairman of Templeton, thinks the time is ripe to invest in Chinese equities.

Consumers have more disposable income:
Many consumers in China have been getting annual increases in wages of 20% or more. More personal assets could be funnelled into savings and investments.

Government spending:
The government is devoting more resources to infrastructure and subsidised housing as well as extending social security, education and health benefits to new migrants to the cities.

Fuel for the economy:
Between 2010 and 2011, interest rate in China increased 5x and are now at a 6% lending rate. The government has a lot of room to reduce rates if they need to stimulate the economy.

Volatility brings opportunity:
This year is likely to bring volatility which brings opportunity. We plan to go along for the ride.

I am holding on to my investments in Sound Global and China Minzhong, believing that they are good proxies of the continuing growth story in China. If Mr. Market should decide to offer much lower prices for their stocks in the meantime, I would buy more.

Related post:
China Minzhong: Share price to go higher.

LMIR: Divested 42.5% at 52.5c

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Last night, I made a decision to sell a large chunk of my investment in LMIR. Today, my overnight sell order was filled.

By selling at 52.5c, I am giving up a distribution yield of approximately 5.7%.








As I went through my records to cancel out the units which were sold, I found out that the majority were purchased in late 2008 through 2009. 

I made fewer purchases in 2010 and 2011. 





Of course, the total number of units doubled during the rights issue in late 2011 at a price of 31c per rights unit.

Since the rights issue more than a year ago, the performance of LMIR has been unimpressive. 

I blogged about how unitholders who did not take the opportunity to buy more nil-paid rights as it was sold down aggressively then would have been better off without the rights issue and the subsequent acquisitions.







What is immediately positive about the divestment?

Given my entry prices, the divestment locks in a hefty capital gain. 

A big part of my remaining investment in the REIT is now "free", in a manner of speaking.






I have also put in a sell order at 53c. 

This is for the rights units converted from nil-paid rights bought in the open market in late 2011. 

If the sell order should be filled, it would reduce my investment in the REIT by another 30.5%. 

Then, my remaining investment in the REIT would be truly "free".





Of course, I have not taken into consideration the income distributions which I have been receiving from the REIT since 2008. 

I could check but it wouldn't serve any useful purpose other than to provide me with a way to kill time.

Still invested, I hope that LMIR's management would do better in FY2013 since I would still stand to benefit if OCBC Research's forecast for a much higher DPU from the REIT this year comes through.





Related post:
LMIR: An unimpressive 4Q 2012.


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