Saizen REIT and Croesus Retail Trust: Much ado about Yen.

A reader sent me an email and expressed worry that the JPY might weaken further against the S$. With exposure to Saizen REIT and Croesus Retail Trust, he is worried.

For sure, the JPY has weakened dramatically in the last 2 years (and a few months) against the S$. By now, it has weakened some 25% or so. It might weaken further or it might not. I am sure there are arguments made in favour of both cases.

I think, as investors, we have to know clearly what is our motivation for investing in Saizen REIT and Croesus Retail Trust. If we are investing for income and if we have not overpaid in either case, I feel that we have little to worry about.

Luz Shinsaibashi, Osaka.

Both Saizen REIT and Croesus Retail Trust hedge exchange rate risk. So, even if the JPY were to weaken another 10% in the next six months, their next income distribution in S$ will barely be affected. Similarly, if the JPY were to appreciate significantly in the next six months, don't expect any big gain in DPU, everything else remaining equal.

Of course, the income distribution after the next could be hedged at an even lower exchange rate if the JPY is weaker by then. Yikes! Yes, this is one of the risks that comes with investing in anything that receives income in a foreign currency.

With Saizen REIT trading at 88c a unit and giving a DPU of about 6.5c, we are looking at a yield of 7.38%. Croesus Retail Trust is trading at about 89c and will offer an annualised DPU of about 9.3c, by my estimate, or a distribution yield of 10.44%, after its recent acquisitions. Double digit yield, anybody?

Of course, we have to remember that Saizen REIT has a much stronger balance sheet compared to Croesus Retail Trust and that they own different types of properties.

In the event that the JPY weakens another 5 or 10%, what would the impact be on the distributable income in S$ terms? Yield falls to 6.64% for Saizen REIT and to 9.45% for Croesus Retail Trust? Is that so unpalatable? Is that a catastrophe?

Photo of the Great Buddha in Kamakura I took on a trip in December 2011 when JPY was at its highest against the S$.

Investing for income is supposed to give us some measure of equanimity even if the equity market sails through a storm. If the slightest hint of choppy waters scares us to bits, we might want to look at our motivation for being invested again and also check to make sure that we have not invested with money we might need in the next few years.

There must be a reason for our fear. Find it.

Related posts:
1. Saizen REIT: Is the DPU sustainable?
2. Croesus Retail Trust: Recent acquisitions.
3. Motivations and methods in investing.
4. Be comfortable with being invested.

AK feels like Bilbo Baggins.

The good thing about being an anonymous blogger is that I feel more comfortable to share more openly many things about myself, including what is my annual passive income from investments, for example. Anonymity gives me some protection and that gives me courage.

Over the years, I have been invited to speak at various public events or to be interviewed. Predictably, I have declined all such invitations with only one exception.

Bilbo Baggins. Source: Wikipedia.

Recently, I met a group of big hearted people who feel that many people will benefit from me sharing in person my little ideas about financial well-being and investing. Of course, my immediate response was to decline the offer. No surprises there.

However, I was so won over by what they are setting themselves up to do that I offered to them my blog which represents more than 4 years of dedication. To me, if my blog is able help fulfil the noble vision which they have, it would give me great satisfaction. Well, of course, I would still be blogging. I still enjoy it enough not to give it up yet.

They are very decent people and they think that it is not right for them to take my blog. They reasoned that it is not right to take it without fair compensation. They do not like the idea they will benefit from the arrangement but not me. This is the kind of people they are. Despite telling them that it doesn't matter to me, they refused.

Instead, they asked me to seriously consider doing greater good by inspiring people in person. I understand the argument that many people do not read blogs. I understand that many prefer people to people contact. However, there are already so many speakers and trainers who are doing a good job of inspiring people. Why me?

I am just a regular guy who works as a manager in a family controlled SME. I make a mid 4 figure salary and have 14 days of annual leave a year. I make use of common sense and try to be prudent with money. I also try to make my money work for me by investing for a second stream of income. There are many people who are like me in Singapore, I reckon.

Fear of the loss of privacy is the biggest thing that is holding me back from making a public appearance. It would also be terrible if, by making a public appearance, I cause my family to be subjected to scrutiny as well.

I told one of these friends that I feel like Bilbo Baggins and that, to me, he is Gandalf who has come knocking on my door. Should I pack up my stuff and go with him?

I am a worrier by nature and, already, I can imagine how things could go wrong in more ways than one. I wonder is this going to be worth it?

Related post:
Common but admirable people.