One month ago, I blogged about the offer of 46.5c a unit by Volare Group to increase their stake in Sabana REIT by another 10%.
I have looked at the offer documents yesterday and it seems that those who decide to offer some or all of their investment in Sabana REIT for sale will get 45.04c a unit instead of 46.5c.
The very first section of the offer documents explains what "you will get for your units."
"S$0.465 in cash - S$0.0146 distribution = S$0.4504."
So, it seems to me that Volare Group is using the incoming income distribution from the REIT to help fund their purchase.
Is this offer still attractive?
Well, there are many ways to look at this and if we are to only look at the numbers, netting 45.04c a unit is still pretty attractive.
We don't have to incur any brokerage fee.
Sabana REIT was trading at 42.5c a unit the last I checked.
So, we could offer to sell all or some of our investment to Volare Group and buy an equivalent number of units from Mr. Market if we wished to retain the same level of exposure to the REIT.
This is an arbitrage opportunity to make some pocket money, if we want to take advantage of it.
There is risk, however.
The offer will only succeed if 10% or more of Sabana REIT's units are tendered.
If the offer should fail, this arbitrage strategy would saddle us with more units of Sabana REIT than what we started out with.
So, think carefully.
If I were to do this, I would remind myself of a couple of points.
1. Use only money which has been earmarked for investing for income.
2. Do not buy more Sabana REIT units than what I am comfortable holding in total in case the offer fails.
Personally, I won't be doing it.
Don't I want to make some extra pocket money?
Well, it isn't going to be that significant a gain unless I take a huge gamble.
A huge gamble?
A difference of 2.5c a unit = $25 per 1000 units.
So, I would have to buy some 100,000 units from Mr. Market while tendering the same amount to Volare Group if I wished to make $2,500.
I would have to fork out $42,500 before fees.
I don't have that money in my war chest now and even if I have that money, I would not do it because I am happy with how my portfolio looks now.
If I had a smaller investment in Sabana REIT, I might do it if I had the money but I feel that my exposure to the REIT is appropriately sized.
Appropriately sized?
Mustn't just look at the size of my investment in Sabana REIT.
I remind myself that I already have a very large exposure to industrial REITs with AIMS APAC REIT being my largest investment in this space.
Anyway, this is just me talking to myself as usual.
If anyone is thinking of arbitrage, good luck.
Huat ah!
Reference:
Offer of 46.5c per unit.