The email address in "Contact AK: Ads and more" above will vanish from November 2018.

PRIVACY POLICY

FAKE ASSI AK71 IN HWZ.

Featured blog.

1M50 CPF millionaire in 2021!

Ever since the CPFB introduced a colorful pie chart of our CPF savings a few years ago, I would look forward to mine every year like a teena...

Past blog posts now load week by week. The old style created a problem for some as the system would load 50 blog posts each time. Hope the new style is better. Search archives in box below.

Archives

"E-book" by AK

Second "e-book".

Another free "e-book".

4th free "e-book".

Pageviews since Dec'09

Financially free and Facebook free!

Recent Comments

ASSI's Guest bloggers

LMIR: Distribution.

Friday, June 25, 2010


LMIR's volume expanded today as price fell to close at 47c.  Momentum oscillators, MFI and RSI, have formed lower highs and lower lows as the price continued to be resisted by the merged 100d and 200d MAs. I have mentioned a few times before that, of late, LMIR has been rising on weak technicals and, therefore, I would not add to my long position yet.




47c is a many times tested support level, a support level that gave way on 19 May.  At the moment, this support level is underpinned by the rising 20dMA and might be a tad stronger than it was back in May. If 47c gives, the next major support is at 45c.

The MACD has completed its turn down and seems set to form a bearish crossover with the signal line.  If it does this and goes below zero once more, the recent upmove in LMIR's price would be nothing more than a rebound in a downtrend which started in January this year.

I would keep an eye on the momentum oscillators at the same time as they could be predictive if we spot divergences. I still like this REIT's fundamentals and will wait for a more opportune time to load up.

Tea with AK71: Water, water everywhere.

The Cantonese saying goes "yao shui, yao choi" which literally translated would say "have water, have money". However, we know that we cannot have too much of a good thing.  Back in school, biology class taught us that if we drink too much water, we might get drunk but I am sure the effects are different from being drunk on alcohol!  Really bizarre.

Well, we are having too much water lately from the heavens.  On that faithful day when Orchard Road became a river last week, I was so drenched walking from the carpark to my office (yes, I don't have a sheltered carpark at work) even with a super large umbrella that I had to exchange my socks and shoes for a pair of slippers at work.  I was feeling quite miserable. 


Today, a bit wiser, I stayed home as the rain came pouring and left for work an hour later when conditions became slightly better.  Guess what.  The roads were still jammed.  Traffic on Jalan Bukit Merah was paralysed.  That was at 10.30AM.  Imagine that.  The last time it happened was when a huge tree fell across six lanes in both directions and till today, the authorities have yet to replace the fence which was destroyed on the center divider at the T junction with Jalan Membina. Residents there are not complaining and I have seen quite a few happily jay walking now that the barrier is gone to get to the bus stop on the other side of Jalan Bukit Merah. That tree fell on a day with strong winds and torrential rainfall just weeks ago.

Thankfully, by the time I arrived at work today, the rain became a light drizzle.  I half jokingly told a customer just now that the world is coming to an end.  Half jokingly because I know that extreme weather conditions are here to stay.  My major in the university was Geography and climate change was something I studied.  Half jokingly also because I have faith in the Singapore government to pre-empt and do the right things.  Building the Marina Barrage is one such example of a right thing.

By many estimates, the Earth would be a very different place by end of this century.  The sea level could have risen 70cm by then.  Imagine that. The polar ice caps would be almost totally gone and that goes for the glaciers in the mountains too. We have made such a mess of this world.

This is something I memorised for my "A" Level Literature class two decades ago:

"To her fair works does nature link the human soul that through me ran and much it grieves my heart to think what man has made of man" - William Wordsworth.

My memory has become a bit patchy over the years and I hope I have not mangled Wordsworth's words.  Still poignant, don't you think?

Flash floods come to the neighbourhood!


Saizen REIT: CEO bought more warrants.

Thursday, June 24, 2010

Saizen REIT's CEO, Chang Sean Pey, bought 197,000 warrants today from 7c to 7.5c a piece. Persistent insider buying remains a characteristic of Saizen REIT.  This REIT is probably one of the most undervalued ones currently available in the Singapore stock exchange.

Successfully refinancing YK Shintoku's CMBS in future remains the strongest possible catalyst that would give Saizen REIT's units a lift up in price. Refinancing to bring down the current punitive interest rate of 7.07% to a more reasonable level would greatly improve the EPS of the REIT and, therefore, the DPU.

If the recent successful refinancing of the loan provided by Societe Generale for GK Choan, which attracts an interest rate of 3.8275% throughout its three-year term, is anything to go by, we could see the interest rate for YK Shintoku's loan in the region of 4% once it is successfully refinanced.  This would save 3.07% on interest payment for Saizen REIT's largest loan in its portfolio.  That would represent savings of about JPY200m a year!

The skies are clearing up for Saizen REIT and, at the moment, I do not see any storm cloud for the REIT apart from YK Shintoku's CMBS which I feel confident would dissipate in the coming months.

Other than the JPY 7.1 billion (S$108.6 million) loan of YK Shintoku (which is currently in maturity default) and the JPY 0.45 billion (S$6.9 million) loan of GK Chosei, Saizen REIT has no further loans that are due to mature in the next two financial years. This will allow the Management Team to focus on the refinancing of the loan of YK Shintoku.

Related posts:
Saizen REIT: Refinancing of loan from Soc. Gen.
Replies from AK71: All things Saizen REIT.

Charts in brief: 24 Jun 10.

LONDON (AP) -- World stock markets mostly fell Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve struck a note of caution in its latest assessment of the world's biggest economy, indicating Europe's debt crisis poses a risk to the recovery. Read full article here.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT:  Bollinger bands continue to narrow. Flat 100dMA is providing support at 21.5c. Rising 20dMA seems set to form a golden cross with the 50dMA. OBV is steady and MFI's decline halted just below 50%. Keeping an eye on this counter for a possible impending upmove.




SPH: Since selling away some shares at $3.82 and $3.88 on 18 June, I have been watching this counter, looking for signs of a reversal. Today, it closed at $3.79 on lower volume. The uptrending MFI suggests that the sell down lacks conviction, perhaps. OBV is flattish.  So, I have put in a buy order at $3.74 where we find the rising 200dMA.  This is a hedge.  Remember, the 200dMA support was compromised for a few sessions a few weeks back and this could happen again.




LMIR: A gravestone doji. MFI formed a lower high and dipped under 50%. OBV is flat. Negative divergence between price and volume still very obvious. 48c is reasserting itself as the immediate resistance. Bollinger bands are narrowing. Will the price go up or down? Hard to say but the negative divergence is worrisome and I am not adding to my long position here.






Related post:
Charts in brief: 23 Jun 10.


Monthly Popular Blog Posts

All time ASSI most popular!

 
 
Bloggy Award