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Property prices in Japan.

Sunday, August 8, 2010

Property prices in Japan may be near the bottom because transactions are picking up as loan default rates begin to decline....


.... Investors including Chuo Mitsui Trust & Banking Company and CLSA Capital Partners have said they will invest in real estate in Japan this year after the nation’s commercial land prices fell to the lowest in at least 36 years....

.... ‘The best time to invest is before things hit bottom, because if everyone were to agree we are right at bottom, they would all come rushing back in. If you have a longer term outlook, now is a very interesting time to be looking,’ said Buddy Ferrie, a general manager of the investment division at property consulting firm Colliers Halifax in Tokyo....

Read complete article here.
Analysts indicate property prices in Japan may be near bottom, Property Wire, Friday, 04 June 2010 .

I first put up this video on 13 March but I think it is worth watching again.  A video interview with Marc Faber (Posted Mar 12, 2010 07:30am EST by Peter Gorenstein):



"If you are going to put money to work in stocks both market watchers think Japan is the place to be. After a 20 year bear market and despite high-debt-to-GDP levels, the pair think the market has become too cheap to ignore. Always a contrarian, Faber believes the lack of interest in Japanese stocks makes it one of the most compelling buys in the world. "

Related post:
Buy Japanese real estate.

Golden Agriculture: Uptrend.

Saturday, August 7, 2010

58.5c is a natural resistance turned support if we look at the candlesticks formed in the last three weeks.




The current uptrend support approximates the rising 20dMA and would be somewhere around 57.5c in the next session. Price could decline, break support at 58.5c and hit 57.5c in a whipsaw before rebounding.

Since the price hit a low of 48c in May, the MFI, OBV and RSI have been rising together with the rising price. So? Growing demand, continual accumulation and bouyant price movement. All good news for bulls.  If this continues, price could push upwards to retest 62.5c.  Could it overcome this resistance level?

Crude Palm Oil (CPO) has recovered strongly in a steep line upwards and is now at RM 2,661.  This is not far from the double top which saw CPO at around RM 2,710.  Golden Agriculture would benefit from higher CPO prices and the market knows this.  If CPO price breaks RM 2,710, we could see Golden Agriculture's share price rally to a new high.

Tea with AK71: Philips Blu Ray.

Friday, August 6, 2010

On Sunday, I bought a Philips Blu Ray player for a good friend as a housewarming gift.  I got it from Courts near HDB Hub in Toa Payoh.  I bought it because it was such a good deal.  Listen to this: usually $299, it was going for $239!  Also, they threw in a free HDMI cable and 2 free Blu Ray titles! 


I got my Sony Blu Ray player just weeks ago at Best Denki in Vivo City for $299 and I had to pay $99 for a HDMI cable!  I also had to spend more money buying a few Blu Ray titles at MJ Multimedia to start me off.  Fortunately, MJ was having a GSS offer at $70 for two titles but it would still come to a total of $299 + $99 + $70 = S$ 468 to get the same deal as offered by Philips in Courts!  It's a $229 savings!

Now, here is the issue: the free Blu Ray titles must be collected from Philips HQ in Toa Payoh Lorong 1.  They were not available in Courts.  The posters in Courts showed Wolverine, UP and a couple of other titles.  The salespeople told me that my friend has to bring along the receipt and his IC to choose the titles of his choice.  I dutifully conveyed the message when I gave the player to my friend.  This was on Sunday.

This evening, my friend went to Philips HQ and they told him that only Night at the Museum 2 and UP are available. Initially, I thought that the other titles were fully redeemed.  My friend told me he was informed that only these two titles are available all along!!! This is a clear case of misrepresentation!!!  I am so upset but my friend took it quite well and told me not to be angry.  Grrr!!!

If anyone from Philips HQ in Singapore is reading this, you guys are lucky I was not with my friend when he went to collect the discs.  I would have given you guys a piece of my mind!!!

Saizen REIT: Oversold.

Thursday, August 5, 2010

Saizen REIT has been stuck at 16c for weeks. Nothing is happening and it is just a waiting game now.  However, it appears that most of the weaker holders have sold.




The Bollinger bands have narrowed and the MAs are all flattening with the exception of the long term 200dMA which is still rising.  In fact, the 20d and 50d MAs have merged and flatlined at 16c. 16c could either become a very strong support or resistance in future.  Looking at the MFI and the Stochastics, we see that this counter is very oversold. The OBV shows a stalemate between accumulation and distribution.




Taking a look at the weekly chart reveals that the longer term demand has been trending up.  The MFI confirms this. Price has also overcome the descending 100wMA which was a strong resistance.  At 16c, the unit price is sandwiched between the flat 20w and 50w MAs.  Although Mr. Market does not care for what I think, it seems to me that the unit price of Saizen REIT could only go up from here.  Let's wait for the results.


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