Industrial rent forecasts strongest for Singapore.

This research paper on Asia Pacific real estate by DTZ Research was published on 23 February 2011. DTZ Research rates properties as HOT, WARM or COLD.  HOT refers to properties severely undervalued. WARM refers to properties somewhat undervalued to somewhat overvalued. COLD refers to properties which are very much overvalued.

It is very interesting to see that Singapore properties are rated as HOT for all three markets researched, namely, office market (-12%), industrial market (-14%) and retail market (-8%).  In more detail, HOT refers to an investment where investors can expect to make returns higher than the risk adjusted rate of return. Markets estimated to be more than 5% under-valued are classified as HOT. To put things in perspective, the office and industrial markets in Hong Kong are rated COLD. Taipei's industrial market is also rated COLD.

As I am heavily invested in industrial properties S-REITs, notably in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and more recently, in Cambridge Industrial Trust, Cache Logistics Trust and Sabana REIT, I am pleased to have affirmation from DTZ Research when I read this:  "Singapore, a traditional powerhouse in trade and logistics, is expected to be the best industrial performer over the forecast period in terms of rental growth, forecast at 3.6% pa." Refer to page 8 of the research paper. See it here.

Related post:
Higher rents to benefit industrial properties S-REITs.

Tea with AK71: Hainanese pork chop rice.

I like Hainanese pork chop rice. I know there are two versions: with curry or with tomato sauce watered down. This one at Redhill Market (supposedly a branch of a famous stall in Chinatown) sells the former while I know quite a few hotel cafes serve the latter.

Pork chop (very yummy), chap chye (stewed vegetable) and a hor pau dan (sunny side up, Chinese style) on steamed rice drenched in curry! Price: S$2.50.

Cambridge Industrial Trust: Excess rights results.

I checked my savings account and saw the partial return of funds used in the acceptance of rights and application of excess rights in Cambridge's rights exercise.

In total, I have 4 lots of rights units: 2,125 accepted rights and 1,875 excess rights. Add this to the initial 17 lots which I bought at 51c per unit, I have 21 lots now at an average price of 49.46c per unit. Let's just round it up to 49.5c per unit. With a DPU of 4.84c, post rights, that's a distribution yield of 9.78%.

Related post:
Cambridge Industrial Trust: Going for excess rights.

Cache Logistics Trust: Accumulate on weakness.

We could be seeing the final move in the formation of a reverse head and shoulders pattern. Volume has been reducing as price weakened from a high of 96c on 4 April. The counter closed at 93.5c today.

What do I like?

1. Low volume pull back.

2. ADX suggests a lack of trend. Looking at the Stochatics, it has entered oversold territory.

3. Potential reverse head and shoulders pattern. Watch out for price possibly testing 93c or even 92.5c for support.

4. Results and income distribution will be announced on 26 April. Expecting that to be a catalyst to send price higher.

So, if the pattern is valid, how high could the price go? Well, the low of the pattern was seen on 15 March and that's at 91c. The neckline of the pattern is at 96c. Projecting this difference forward would give us a target of $1.01. Not too bad, if I do say so myself. I am accumulating on weakness.