STI, Golden Agriculture, Capitaland and CapitaMalls Asia.

The STI closed 58.06 points lower at 3,110.48. There is probably some pain and some panic in the air and we have the usual doomsayers out in force today. So, going by what I have said, am I a bull more than a bear? I am neither a bull nor a bear. I like to think that I am a pragmatist.

Most of my portfolio is made up of REITs. Today, we see AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT, Sabana REIT, Cache Logistics Trust, First REIT, LMIR, Suntec REIT and even Saizen REIT holding up rather nicely. So, I am not really affected by the sell off.

So, what did I do today?

1. Bought some Golden Agriculture shares at 68.5c a piece. You might remember that I said I sold all my shares in this company by mistake. I really want to keep some of its shares, believing in the longer term future of crude palm oil. The share price closed at 69c today.

I am not firing all my guns yet because we have to be wary of a potential head and shoulders formation. The neckline of this formation approximates 65c. If 65c were to be tested successfully on lower volume, we could add more aggressively to our long positions believing that, probably, the longer term uptrend is still intact. Of course, there is no way of knowing. So, I hedge by buying at supports. 66.5c support, if tested, would see me buying more. After all, buying at supports in an uptrend is conventional wisdom.

2. Although the trading volume of Capitaland increased today compared to the session before, it is still quite low if we compare it to 11 and 12 May which were black candle days too. Today, a black spinning top was formed and this is a reversal signal.  It needs confirmation, of course. Well, will price move lower? It could, of course. Keep an eye on $3.08, the previous low. It has to hold up in order for price to have a better chance of a near term rebound.

I bought more shares at $3.10 a piece today. This is a hedge as a retest of the previous low is a relatively safe entry as I am, after all, buying at supports. However, bearing in mind that supports can easily become resistance in a downtrend, the additional investment is a smallish one.

3. There is some similarity between CapitaMalls Asia's chart and Capitaland's. The volume is relatively lower compared to the volume back when the previous low was formed. I am also on the lookout for a possible positive divergence between the MACD and price.

I bought more shares at $1.60 a piece today as there seems to be a lot of fear in the air.

Allgreen: Privatisation offer at $1.60 per share.

I did a piece on Allgreen Properties on 12 April 2011. It seems that I have missed the boat ... for good. Well, these things happen. Absolutely no way to tell. Congratulations to all vested.

Read the post here.

Malaysian billionaire Kuok offers to buy rest of Allgreen stock. Brookvale Investments, owned by members of the Kuok group of companies, offered $1.60 in cash for each share in Singapore-based Allgreen, according to a filing by the developer to the Singapore exchange today. The stock last traded at $1.15.
Monday, 23 May 2011

© 2011 - The Edge Singapore

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CapitaMalls Asia: Mixed signals.

CapitaMalls Asia's chart is technically mixed. What is clear is that it is in a long term downtrend and, going by the momentum oscillators, it is very much oversold. A rebound from oversold conditions could see price retesting the trendline resistance which started on 6 October 2010. $1.82, perhaps.

With price closing at $1.64 on relatively high volume in the last session, below the natural support of $1.68, it remains to be seen if it could retest the low of $1.57 touched on 15 March 2011. Watch out, therefore, for a potential double bottom formation.

We want to see volume drying up if price should go closer towards the low of 15 March 2011 in such an instance. A higher low on the MACD would be promising too. The time to buy more shares of CapitaMalls Asia could be near.

Related post:
CapitaMalls Asia: Quiet resilience.