Saizen REIT: YK Shintoku's CMBS repaid.

The Board of Directors of Japan Residential Assets Manager Limited, the manager (the “Manager”) of Saizen Real Estate Investment Trust ("Saizen REIT"), is pleased to announce that the loan of YK Shintoku had been fully repaid on 31 May 2011 (the “Repayment”).

Following the completion of the Repayment and the cancellation of the mortgage over YK Shintoku’s property portfolio, YK Shintoku’s portfolio of 27 properties which is valued at approximately JPY 4.3 billion (S$65.6 million) will become unencumbered. Together with the property portfolios of YK Keizan, YK Shingen and GK Chosei, the total value of Saizen REIT’s unencumbered properties will amount to approximately JPY 14.9 billion (S$227.5 million).

After the Repayment, Saizen REIT’s borrowings comprise five loans amounting to approximately JPY 9.0 billion (S$137.4 million), with the nearest loan maturity due in June 2013. Saizen REIT’s gearing after the Repayment is approximately 24%.  

Verify announcement here.

This is, of course, what I have been waiting for since I started investing in this REIT in late 2009. It is really a pity that the triple disasters hit Japan when it did. Otherwise, I have no doubt that Saizen REIT's unit price would be much higher than it is now.

As it is now, technically, further upside could be capped at 15.5c while downside could be limited at 14.5c. Could the repayment of YK Shintoku's CMBS provide a strong enough catalyst for the REIT's unit price to breakout on the upside?

Related post:
Saizen REIT: Sanity prevails with more good news.

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Golden Agriculture: Accumulate on weakness.

I plan to accumulate Golden Agriculture on weakness. This would mean at 67.5c support as provided by the trendline support connecting the lows of 6 and 25 May 2011. I would not, however, throw in the kitchen sink. This is because if 67.5c should break and if price were to close lower, we could see price going to 65c and the long term uptrend would still be intact. Buy more at 65c is what I would do if that should happen.

The ADX suggests a lack of trend for Golden Agriculture's share price. In such a situation, I look to the Stochastics for clues. With it closer to the overbought region and forming a lower high although price touched a higher high at 71.5c, the chance of a further decline in price is high.

However, the decline in price in the last two sessions were on the back of lowering volume. This paints a picture of a low volume pullback. So, although further price decline could take place, it could take place due to a lack of buyers and not an increase in sellers. Indeed, the CMF shows a decline in buying pressure but not an increase in selling pressure.

Related post:
Golden Agriculture: Watch the 100dMA.

Sabana REIT: Resistance at 93c demolished!

After the market closed, sleepy and some might even say unloved Sabana REIT saw 2,514 lots bought up at 94c which led to a wickless white candle being formed on higher volume, breaking resistance provided by the declining 50dMA like a hot knife on butter!

The bullish divergence between MACD and price action has delivered and did so in a smashing manner. A test of the declining 100dMA as resistance is most likely and we could see 95c and 95.5c tested next. Although there is no bearish divergence to speak of, locking in some gains is a tempting proposition. I might just divest partially in the face of a rapid appreciation in price.

Related post: Sabana REIT: Still waiting for a 10% yield?