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AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: 3Q FY2012.

Friday, January 20, 2012

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT delivered a solid set of results with DPU at 2.6c. This is a 4% increase over the previous quarter.

As I was expecting a DPU of 2.5c with a possibility of a small reduction, this is good news indeed. It will go XD on 3 Feb and is payable on 20 Mar.


Upon completion of sale of 31 Admiralty Road for $16.438m, the REIT's gearing would drop to 29.4%. The REIT had purchased this building for $13.4m. So, the REIT will recognise a gain and have gearing comfortably under 30% at the same time.

NAV per unit: $1.367
Interest cover ratio: 5.6x
Occupancy: 98.9%
Average land lease expiry: 41.9 years
(Only 10.9% of nett lettable area will see land lease expiry within the next 21 to 30 years).

The REIT has no debt due until October 2013.

Expectations for very slow growth in 2012 is unlikely to be too challenging as REITs are generally able to weather zero growth environments. The REIT also collects an average of 8.4 months in security deposits per property.

At the recent high of $1.00 per unit, its annualised distribution yield is 10.4%. This could increase in 2013, everything remaining equal.

I am confident of the REIT as a strong passive income generator and it remains a core component of my portfolio.

See presentation slides: here.

Related post:
AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Partial divestment.

FSL Trust: Reduced DPU to US0.10c.

Mr. Market is showing displeasure with FSL Trust's decision to reduce quarterly DPU from 0.95c to 0.1c. Its price has plunged more than 20% from the closing of 30c yesterday to 23c when I last looked.



Assuming an exchange rate of US$1 to S$1.30, the annualised distribution yield is about 2.2% per annum based on a unit price of 23c. Better than fixed deposit rates but as an investment, it is not very attractive.

However, I believe that this development together with the Trust's recent successful refinancing with a 6 year amortising loan are steps in the right direction. If the Trust survives the difficult times ahead, it could emerge stronger and ready to ride the next upswing in the cycle.

Read press release: here.

Cache Logistics Trust: 4Q and FY2011 results.

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Cache Logistics Trust announced a good set of results.



Its recent acquisitions pushed distributable income upwards by some 9.2% while DPU increased to 2.1c. Annualised, distribution yield is 8.48% with unit price at 99c.

Net gearing: 29.6%.
NAV per unit: 91c.
Interest cover ratio: 8.0x

The CEO, Daniel Cerf, said that although new supply in warehouse space could come on board in late 2012 and 2014, existing demand should take up the new supply as good quality warehouse space is still in short supply in Singapore. (Source: The Straits Times, 19 January 2012).

Last month, I accumulated units of Cache Logistics Trust on weakness at 95c a unit. Those units were divested today at 99c when my overnight sell order was filled. The reason for selling? Technically, I see resistance at 99.5c and, for more than a week, unit price has plateaued at 99c.



In a rangebound situation, I look to the Stochastics for clues and it has been overbought for many sessions. Together with the formation of a doji today on the back of very much higher volume, the risk of a downward movement in price is, therefore, higher. When would a decline happen? When the counter goes XD? Perhaps.

If price should break resistance and move higher, I would still benefit with my remaining investment in the Trust. Otherwise, it would just continue to generate passive income in my portfolio. I think this is a good position to be in.

See presentation slides: here.

Related post:
Cache Logistics Trust: 3Q 2011.

Capitaland: Partial divestment at $2.48.

Just two days ago, on 17 January, I said that I see resistance at $2.48. I got this from the weekly chart as that was resistance provided by the declining 20wMA and the 138.2% Fibo line.

So, I put in an overnight sell order at $2.48 and it was filled later in the session today.



In very bullish circumstances, we could see $2.50 and $2.53 taken out with ease. With the formation of a long white candle on the back of very high volume, this could indeed be the case. The MACD has just crossed into positive territory and this signals the return of positive buying momentum.

In such an instance, we could see $2.65 or even $2.75 tested. It would be a sight to behold. Remember, however, that TA is about probability. Nothing is for certain.

Relates post:
Capitaland: Resistance at $2.48.


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