Croesus Retail Trust, HPH Trust, NBN Trust and SingTel.

Reader on HPH Trust, its decreasing NAV and distributions:
Thanks for your reply. I knew a lot of readers were asking you to talk to yourself on may things so definitely appreciate your time on this topic.

AK:
HPH Trust's land leases are decaying rapidly. I blogged about the Trust a few times before and why I avoided it.
(They were holding back much needed CAPEX to maintain DPU for a while but CAPEX could not be held back indefinitely.)

Reader:
As u know, we received the CRT scheme document and the suggestion is for us to accept.
At current price, we are looking at yield of 6.6% or slightly higher if the scheme went through. But there isn't any obvious choices (trots or trust) in the market that would match or beat that. Would like to understand what are the top few choices you would have redeploy the capital return.

AK:
If you are looking for 6.6% yield, I think it is not difficult to find but I would say yield isn't everything and it is obvious from the fact that I bought into SingTel instead of NBN Trust recently. 
See: Avoiding the instant gratification of yield.

Wondering to vote for or against the sale of Croesus Retail Trust? See related post #1 below for some of my thoughts.

Related posts:
1. Croesus Retail Trust.
2. HPH Trust.
3. SingTel or NBN Trust?

Sold DBS and want to buy back.

After re-sharing on Facebook that I was buying mostly DBS shares in 1H 2016,

Reader:
I saw your FB posts on DBS. Thanks for sharing again. I did buy some DBS shares after attending one of your talks last year. I made a bit of money. Been waiting for the price to drop. My broker told me it will go up higher. Should I buy back?





AK:
I wonder what did your broker tell you about DBS last year? Just curious.

Since you attended "Evening with AK and friends" last year, you might remember that I explained buying into DBS then was buying in at a nice discount to NAV and also at a single digit PE ratio.

Many were worried about the bank's exposure to the troubled O&G sector and I explained that only about 6% of the bank's loan book was exposed to that sector. Even if they had to write off everything, however unlikely, we would still be buying at below its NAV back then.






There was a margin of safety, I felt.

I also pointed out that the bank's CEO, Piyush Gupta, was buying more DBS shares at $13+ a share. His purchase amounted to more than $2 million. That kind of insider buying has to be a vote of confidence. I couldn't ignore that.

He is not buying more now and I believe he has, instead, cashed in not too long ago.

Why did he sell? I don't know. You have to ask him.






Looking at the numbers now, DBS is trading way above its NAV and at a double digit PE ratio. Mind you, it does not mean that its share price cannot go higher from here.

However, DBS is just no longer the bargain that it was last year.

Reader was referring to these blogs I shared on FB earlier today:
1. Wait for big crash to pick durians.
2. 2016 FY passive income (non-REITs).

Wait for a big crash to pick our durians?

Reader:
You have been through the times when you got stocks w div yield of 10+ or even 20%..

Why are you still keen to pick up stocks at 3-5% now?

Isn't it easier (and less work) to just wait out for the next crash to pick your durians again?

It shouldn't be too long from now right...?

Now, this was a CRASH!
Did anyone predict this?
This is what insurance is for.
It is for if a CRASH happens.
Our war chest is an insurance!

..




..

AK:
I cannot predict what will happen. 😞

Some people have been waiting for years for a big crash.

I will keep investing but keep a war chest ready. 

There will always be opportunities, bear market or not.

Just have to be careful so that I don't get killed by falling durians. 😛





Related post:
Make $1 million investing for income.

"I cry as I see how much the price has gone up."

Reader:
Thanks for always mumbling to yourself.
Have always been looking forward to your post daily.

Since i chosen to write to you, I really must say I appreciated your writings n enlightenment most times if not all the times 'cause sometimes I also got lost with your numbers crunching off the records.




Ok, back to your latest post on "To invest or not in Centurion Corp",

After reading the whole thing, at 54c a share n dividend yield of 3.88%( taken from your calculations), even though you mentioned ,"...on Guoccoland n Tuan Sing, a dividend yield of 2.37% is still relatively decent", I'll not bite simply due to the uncertainties in the market right now with many factors like the north korea, trump, etc

But if i"d bought at the same price like you at 38c with a dividend yield of 3.37%, I may consider adding more at 54c now since the yield has increased though my base price may have gone up after averaging, believing that it's a growth stock.






I know i may miss an opportunity but I dont have a big warchest like you :) :))

The last time I read your vested interest in the above company, I've questions about is imminent expiry of its warrants n possible dilution.
Hence, I hesitated.






Now, I cry as i see how much the price has gone up :((

May I hear you talking to yourself about market directions and your holdings.

I know that one cannot time the market but dont you want to cash out since you're sitting on very good profits.

N hope to catch the next wave again with bigger warchest?

AK:
Don't cry. There will always be other opportunities. Mr. Market is not lazy like AK and will never retire. ;)

OK, I am going to show you how lazy I am again. Read this:
http://singaporeanstocksinvestor.blogspot.sg/2014/11/sell-stocks-now-and-wait-to-buy-back.html





Related post:
To invest or not to invest?