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Golden Agriculture and Healthway Medical closed unchanged.

Tuesday, March 9, 2010


Golden Agriculture closed unchanged today on lower volume at 56c, forming a doji in the process. MFI has dipped below 50% which indicates a breakdown in positive buying momentum. If the malaise continues tomorrow, we might see the counter do a gap cover to 54.5c. This is very close to the rising 50dMA while the rising 20dMA is at 54c. If these supports break, strong support is provided by the rising 100dMA at 50.5c. Overall, the uptrend is intact and I would buy more on weakness.




Healthway Medical's EGM took place today to seek shareholders' approval on plans to expand in China. Shareholders' approval are also sought for the share placements to IFC and five substantial shareholders. Some were expecting this to give the counter a bit of a boost but that did not materialise today as the price hit 18.5c, the previous XR high before retreating to 17.5c, forming a graveston doji. Indeed, the bullish picture from yesterday did not follow through as the volume today was significantly reduced, suggesting a lack of strong buy ups.


As I mentioned in an earlier post, I've sold a third of my remaining investment in Healthway Medical at 17.5c and will sell more at 18.5c. Technically, if the counter does a pull back to 15.5c, which is where we find the rising 20d and 50d MAs, that might be a good entry price as the trend is still up.


This counter has run up from a recent low of 13.5c on 11 Feb to the high of 18.5c today. MFI shows how it went from being oversold to overbought in the same period. We should not be disappointed if it decides to take a break.

STI and AIMS-AMP Capital Industrial REIT.

STI's movement today shows indecision as it started the day higher, see-sawed a bit and closed almost unchanged at 2839.54. What we can say for sure is that the 50dMA at 2810 provides initial support and the rising 100dMA at 2780 provides a stronger support. It remains to be seen if it could overcome the gap resistance at 2850. If it overcomes 2850, it is good news for the bulls.


I know many out there are turning cautious and even bearish but the higher lows and the higher highs on the MFI are encouraging. We see that in the OBV as well. Failing to move higher, the STI should not come crashing down either. Please see my earlier post on how the STI might behave in March: STI: Marching in place in March.



Turning defensive, I bought more units in AIMS-AMP Capital Industrial REIT today at 21c. Fundamentally, I like the numbers. Please see:AIMS-AMP Capital Industrial REIT. This is probably the best value for money industrial property REIT in Singapore right now. Increasing the weightage of this REIT in my portfolio diversifies away from an emphasis I've had on Saizen REIT in recent months.
Technically, the price looks like it has bottomed at 20.5c and has begun to move up. The MACD did a bullish crossover with the signal line and the stochastics has started to move up from the oversold region. 21.5c is the resistance provided by the flat 50dMA. It might take a while for the counter to move up in price but the limited downside makes it technically attractive to increase my investment here.


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