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Building and preserving our wealth.

Saturday, September 4, 2010

When I was a secondary two student, I had to write an essay on whether television had brought more harm than good to our society?  The internet did not exist then. To own a 25 inch CRT TV set was a BIG thing.  I doubt school teachers would set an essay question like that today.

Well, I remember giving it much thought and decided that the television was just a tool and whether it did good or harm depended on how we used the tool.  This is true with any other tool as well.  A tool is just a tool.  How we use the tool is the important thing.  Similarly, in the world of investment, there are many tools at our disposal. All these tools, if used appropriately, could boost our wealth.


Human society has grown more complicated from the days of Socrates and Plato.  In those days, scholars were learned in different aspects of life.  As our knowledge base widened over time, we built colleges and universities. Within these institutions, we find different faculties and within faculties, we find different departments and within departments, we find different subjects.  Scholars have become specialists and not generalists in modern society.

We classify things, putting things in neat boxes with labels, to manage the complexities of modernity. This promotes efficiency as it helps us know exactly where things are and what they do.  However, compartmentalising also masks finer details which could set apart one item from another in the same box.

Two of the boxes in the world of investment are labeled "Blue Chips" and "REITs". 

Some prefer Blue Chips, believing that these are strong companies with stable dividend payouts with a nice possibility of share price appreciation.  I have been a shareholder of SPH and ST Engineering for as long as I can remember.  I was also a shareholder of Chartered Semiconductor and, unfortunately, I remember this too.  Certainly, not all Blue Chips are created equal.

Are REITs then all created equal?  Most certainly not. Some are stronger and better than others. REITs are primarily income instruments but they are not just income instruments.  Like any counter traded in the stock market, REITs have the ability to appreciate in price.  If they have the ability to appreciate in price, are they beginning to sound like certain entities with stable dividend payouts with a nice possibility of share price appreciation?  In fact, many S-REITs are now trading above their NAV.  There are still many S-REITs out there which offer value as they are still trading below NAV, have high yields and relatively low gearing levels.  The attraction of high yields coupled with the possibility of capital appreciation is universal.

Any undervalued counters could appreciate nicely in price once discovered by enough people who believe in them.  It does not matter if they are REITs or companies. The risks and rewards of investing in companies and REITs are similar, if we think of it less dogmatically.  Invest in the right ones and we could be rewarded. Invest in the wrong ones and we're sunk.  There are certain characteristics of a REIT which make it a REIT and not a company, for sure, but I would stop there and not over read.

Some might say that REITs are for the rich or the rich and old because these people don't need to grow their wealth aggressively, that they just need regular passive income since their wealth is sizeable already. I do not think that this is entirely correct as there could be the not so rich or the not so rich and young who just want to make sure that their wealth is not being eroded by inflation.  Choosing the right REITs could do this for these people. So, REITs are not just for the rich or the rich and old.  What we choose to invest in would depend on our motivations for being in the stock market in the first instance.


Finally, most wealthy people are wealthy because they run successful businesses. For most of us, having a well paying job and having good money management habits are the bedrock to building our wealth. Whether we choose to invest in Blue Chips or REITs later on could then build and preserve our wealth at the same time. Indeed, why not invest in both? I am not religious about either one.

Treasury China Trust: A chat with Nick.

Friday, September 3, 2010

While chatting with Nick earlier this evening in LP's cbox, he said that he is looking at Treasury China Trust (TCT). A trust to consider for passive income plus growth, perhaps? The following exchange is reproduced with Nick's permission:

Nick @ Home: Treasury China Trust is an interesting company to ride the property boom in China. I must study it more
Nick @ Home: Trading at 70% discount to its NAV......
AK71 @ home: 70% discount to NAV?!
Nick @ Home: Yea...despite owning 3 high quality assets
AK71 @ home: what's the gearing?
Nick @ Home: 35%
Nick @ Home: Debt: S$658 million. Asset: $1.94 billion
AK71 @ home: debt profile?
Nick @ Home: Debts was recently refinanced...mature in 2015
Nick @ Home: Interest expense will be halved
AK71 @ home: hmmm... nice yield?
Nick @ Home: DPU forecast is $0.05. They will use equity (profits earned from property sales last year) to fund dividend payout near term. Once their development projects come online, they expect cash-flow to triple.
Nick @ Home: From now to 2012, dividend payout ratio will be 80% after which it will drop to 50% to fund more development projects
AK71 @ home: very promising... sounds tempting
Nick @ Home: This year yield will be around 3%...I guess with the rising rentals and lower interest expense, DPU can rise in 2011....in 2012, its development projects come online and DPU should increase significantly
Nick @ Home: But being a development trust, it has a growth element inside unlike a REIT
Nick @ Home: So its yield won't be high but it more growth potential since they can build and sell assets to other REITs haha
AK71 @ home: huge interest in the last 2 sessions
Nick @ Home: Yea...they announced that they renew their lease at over 8% higher rates
AK71 @ home: short term overbought but very strong momentum...
AK71 @ home: $1.60 is resistance turned support... can consider
Nick @ Home: http://www.treasurychinatrust.com/
Nick @ Home: JP Morgan gave a very bullish report on 16 August
Nick @ Home: available in the tct website

JP Morgan's report at this link:
http://www.treasurychinatrust.com/Pics/httpmarklogic-b.jpmchase.net8005GPS-434739-0.pdf






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