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Hock Lian Seng: Insider buying.

Monday, October 17, 2011

There has been quite a bit of insider buying going on in Hock Lian Seng as its share price plunged in recent weeks to hit a new low of 23.5c. I know Hock Lian Seng to have a rather robust business although it is in a cyclical industry. So, I decided to take a look at its numbers.





Revenue for 1H 2011 reduced 32.3% compared to 1H 2010 due to the completion of  Marina Bay Station project. Other than this, the rest of its numbers still look good.

I like very much how its cash and short term deposits increased 11.7% from $149.7m to $167.156m. Order book stands at $272m as of 30 June 2011.





Hock Lian Seng is most probably capable of continuing a dividend payout of 1.5c per share when the time comes. At today's closing price of 24c per share, we are looking at a potential dividend yield of 6.25%.

Could its share price weaken further? It could and I would like to buy at a price closer to its NAV/share which is 17.8c. Having said this, at 24c per share, it is already a value proposition, I believe.





See 1H 2011 report here.

NOL: A messy ascending triangle?

Could this be an ascending triangle I see in NOL's chart?

Although ascending triangles are usually seen as a continuation pattern in an uptrend, a breakout could send NOL's share price higher to test resistance provided by the descending 100dMA which is currently at $1.32.


The 20dMA is set to form a golden cross with the 50dMA and is likely to provide immediate support at $1.115 in case of a pull back.

MACD shows that momentum is clearly positive now while the MFI shows higher lows, suggesting that demand is strengthening. The MFI which takes into account both share price and trading volume could test the 50% line for support if volume continues to dwindle while price stays at resistance.

As NOL's share price seems to be finding a floor if not bottoming, looking at the Stochastics provides us with insight as to why it seems to be having a hard time moving higher. This momentum oscillator is, after all, more accurate in situations where prices are moving sideways. The Stochastics has risen into overbought territory.

All in all, this TA seems to suggest that buying if the share price should pull back to support is a good idea because there seems to be a bias for an upward movement in the shorter term.


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