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Wilmar: Touched a new low.

Sunday, August 5, 2012

In the last session, Wilmar's share price touched a new low of $3.18. Many market participants are wondering if they should go long here. Of course, conventional wisdom would say wait for the sellers to be done selling.



So, are the sellers done selling? The OBV shows that distribution activity has not ceased. However, both MFI and MACD have not formed lower lows as compared to May 2012 when share price was higher but declining. Together, the technicals tell me that there are still sellers around but demand has picked up if only barely so.

Technically very weak, we could see lower prices for Wilmar's shares if the current floor fails to hold. Immediate support is at $3.18 while immediate resistance is at $3.54.

Although we could hope for a gap fill at $4.65 which is also where we find the declining 200dMA, that is a long shot and unlikely to happen in the near future.

After such a massive selling down, market participants are likely to take whatever gains they can and run for the hills if there should be any run up in share price. So, adopting a trading mentality could be fruitful for anyone interested in going long here.

Related post:
Wilmar: Not a time to sell.

China Minzhong: Pushing higher.

To any chart watchers, it is obvious that China Minzhong's share price has broken out of resistance.  From here the immediate resistance is provided by the declining 100dMA which is currently at 73c. It could approximate 72c in the next few sessions.




Overcoming the 100dMA could see a test of resistance provided by the 200dMA which is also declining but more gently so. The 200dMA is at 83c. The last time the 200dMA was tested was earlier this year in February.

With all the momentum oscillators up sharply, the worst is over for China Minzhong's share price, it would seem. MACD suggests a return of positive momentum. MFI suggests demand is stronger. OBV suggests robust and continuing accumulation.

It has to be said that a longer term downtrend that started in early 2011 is still intact. So, traders ought to be careful and watch the longer term resistance.

Related post:
China Minzhong: Crossroads.


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