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President Obama wins! What next?

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

President Obama has been re-elected! Seems that Mr. Ben Benanke's job is safe. More quantitative easing, a weaker US$ and stronger inflationary pressure? Seems like it.


People are concerned about the "fiscal cliff". Could it turn out to be a non-event? Could the Democrats and Republicans reach a compromise?

What is the "fiscal cliff" all about and why should we be concerned?

If the current laws slated for 2013 go into effect, the impact on the economy could be dramatic. While the combination of higher taxes and spending cuts would reduce the deficit by an estimated $560 billion... the policies set to go into effect would cut gross domestic product (GDP) by four percentage points in 2013, sending the economy into a recession.

See full write up at: The fiscal cliff explained.

President Barack Obama won re-election in a tight campaign, besting Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in enough swing states to secure four more years in office.

The specter of gridlock would undoubtedly loom before Obama as he confronts an immediate task in addressing the series of automatic tax hikes and spending cuts – the so-called “fiscal cliff” – set to spring into place at the end of this year. As Obama won a second term, House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, said Republicans’ retention of their House majority meant “the American people have also made clear that there is NO mandate for raising tax rates.”

Read full story at: NBC News!

The story does not end with President Obama's re-election, for sure. Another chapter is about to begin.

Want to be wealthier without higher risk?

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

More than a year ago, I wrote about a conversation I had with someone who was worried about the effects of inflation on his personal wealth. By chance, I met him over the weekend and we spoke briefly. He lamented that he did not listen to me as he could not come to terms with the idea that to protect his wealth, he had to take risk.


This reminds me of a saying in Hokkien I heard recently:
Afraid that grasping too loosely might let the bird fly away and that grasping too tightly might kill the bird.

So, fearing the wealth destructive effects of higher inflation, he wants higher returns from investments that have higher risk but the problem is that he cannot accept the higher risk!

If not for the fact that he looked so serious and troubled, I would have made a joke out of it.

This person is very careful with his money. Perhaps, too careful. Well, he has a family to care for and with young kids, I suppose he is right to fear risk. If there should be an investment that would offer him high returns with near zero risk, I am sure he would have jumped on it, but is there such a thing?

Anyway, I did not know what to say to make him feel better and after making some small talk, I bid him farewell. Would you know what to say to make someone feel better in such a situation?

Some people are just ill disposed to risk taking. Live and let live, I guess.

The paradox is that he is actually already taking risk by leaving his money in his bank account in the current low interest rate, high inflation environment and he is definitely not growing any wealthier.

Related post:
To protect our wealth, we have to take risk.


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