First-time car buyer? Get a Mercedes Benz!

I was reading the weekend edition of The Business Times and the front page story was headlined "First-time car buyers disappearing fast".

When I read that, I thought I could guess what the article was about. It would probably go along the line of how the "cooling measures" are working because 100% LTV is a thing of the past, I thought. Well, I was right but only partially.

Although the report said that most first time car buyers are young working adults and that most of them are unable to come up with the required 40% or 50% down payment, something very interesting was also reported.

While most first-time car buyers of entry level cars (which I understand from the article are those priced at around $120,000 each) have been priced out of the market, Mercedes Benz is still doing a roaring trade with first-time car buyers!

The A-Class

"We are seeing more kids bringing their parents to the showroom to book a CLA-Class or A-Class," said a senior executive at Mercedes Benz. Their A200 is priced at $156,000. "... it also looks like more parents are buying a Mercedes for their children."

The CLA at $179,888. Ouch.

Well, I suppose the cooling measures are not targeted at the rich. Rich people can well afford the luxuries in life and cars are definitely a luxury in Singapore. 

Even so, to have a brand new Mercedes Benz as a first car for a young adult given all of today's restrictions is ... er ...

Could someone help me with an adjective here?

The cooling measures have definitely worked to prevent the less rich to be more prudent because, in the past, it was possible to borrow 100% of the car's asking price with a loan repayment period of 10 years. 

A young person could then drive out of a car showroom in a brand new car paying as little as $500. He would probably have been wearing a big smile on his face and thinking to himself, "Wah! So affordable!"

Who says money cannot buy happiness?
(But buy already still have money or not?)

Related posts:
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2. Polish your own car and save money.
3. Tea with AK71: Bought a new car.
4. Mature and sophisticated consumers lease cars, not buy.

Saizen REIT: DPU of 0.63c.

Despite a much weaker JPY, Saizen REIT has delivered a respectable income distribution in S$ terms, a DPU of 0.63c to be precise.

Saizen REIT's DPU in JPY terms has been improving steadily in recent years. In the last half a year, DPU in JPY terms has shown an improvement too but a much weaker JPY means that DPU took a hit in S$ terms.

Income in JPY terms climbed mainly due to new acquisitions. Of course, a buy back and cancellation of shares also helped.

As of 30 June 2013:

NAV/unit: 25c
Gearing: 38%
Interest cover ratio: 6.0x

To reduce the impact of a weakening JPY on income distributions in S$ terms, Saizen REIT's management entered into hedging transactions.

The rate for the 6 months period which ended on 30 June 2013 was JPY75.12 = S$1.00. The rate for the 6 months period ending 31 December 2013 is JPY 81.15 = S$1.00. It is going to be some 14% costlier to buy S$, it seems. So, if I read this correctly, we should see downward pressure on the next income distribution in S$ terms, everything else remaining equal.

Saizen REIT has refinanced and in so doing brought down its average interest rate as well as its rate of amortisation. Yes, regular readers will remember that Saizen REIT's loans are amortising in nature. It will also not see any loan maturing until four and a half years later in February 2018.

So, is reducing the rate of amortisation a good thing? Well, it will mean that the REIT will have more income from operation available for distribution. However, it is unlikely to mean a higher income distribution in JPY terms because the REIT is currently using its cash resources to offset amortisation in order to free up more income from operations for distribution to unit holders anyway. It will, however, mean that there is less strain on the REIT's current cash resources.

The management is also proposing to do a 5 to 1 unit consolidation. This is a bit of a déjà vu. I remember the time when AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT did a 5 to 1 unit consolidation too. Fundamentally, it really doesn't change anything.

Qualitatively, investing in Saizen REIT now is to invest in freehold Japanese residential properties at a discount to their valuations. If we believe that the Japanese economy will enjoy a revival as Abenomics gain traction, then, Saizen REIT could be a good proxy as the country frees itself from deflationary forces.

The REIT's numbers are good but the persistent weakness of the JPY as the BOJ stays the course with its own brand of QE is going to lower income distribution in S$ terms in the foreseeable future. A conservative forecast of 1.1c in annual DPU would mean a distribution yield of 5.8% assuming a unit price of 19c. Compared to J-REITs with residential properties in Japan, this is relatively high and although it is not particularly cheap at current prices, Saizen REIT is not overpriced.

See FY2013 presentation: here.

Related post:
Saizen REIT: DPU of 0.66c.