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Questions on Hong Fok and Cordlife.

Saturday, December 12, 2015

A recent email exchange:

Good Evening AK! 

I have been following your blog for quite a while now! I would first like to thank you for setting up a blog like that! It has helped me gained much knowledge in the world of investing! We actually have met twice so far! Once in your Talk with AK and once at InvestXCongress (I was the guy who told you I fell asleep for the first half and post lunch half >< )

Anyway! If it is possible, I would like to share some analysis with you and see if it is actually sound (and hopefully learn more from you (:  )

1) Recently, Hong Fok's two charimen have been buying back huge amounts of their shares.. Attached herewith is an excel sheet (3rd page) with the details i tabulated from their website and also some layman analysis (page 1 and 2) that I have done. I intend to buy in as a short term trade but potentially holding on till End Feb as that is about when they release their FY reports.

2) Attached herewith is a Cordlife image. Normally, after a dividend, one would expect the share price to drop however, it seems not to be the case for Cordlife. I intend to have my TP at 1.65.

Sorry that the two questions I have are mainly about short term investments. I am trying to build up some more capital to increase my warchest. (Teacher pay not enough >< )

Hope to hear from you soon!

Hi J,

Ah, I think I remember you. :)

1. Hong Fok. I happen to know the family quite well. I wouldn't buy Hong Fok's stock unless I am thinking of possibly having the value unlocked one day through privatisation. It could take forever.

2. Stock prices don't have to fall on XD. It just so happens that they often do. Prices are a function of sentiments in the short run.

If you would like to increase your capital in the stock market in the short run, you might be better off learning Technical Analysis and becoming more of a trader.

I have always been an income investor but I did quite a bit of trading in my earlier years too.

Get the right tools to achieve your goals. :)

Best wishes,

Related posts:
1. Books on Technical Analysis.
2. Don't thank AK, thank yourself in future.


Solace said...

I would suggest one to understand the business model and fundamentals of cordlife properly. I am providing input base on my knowledge and understanding of this industry.

The services provided by Cordlife is like an insurance. Having the chance to freeze their newborn's own stem cells, parents are signing up with pricey cord-blood banks. The questions to ask is whether these cells can really save the child's life someday?

What are the chances you might need your cord blood in the future? Cordlife predicts 1 in 217 persons may need their cord bllod stem cells for treatment in their lifetime. However, according to what i understand, general research predicts it is more likely 1 in 100,000 to 200,000 person.

Do a research and check how many patients have actually successfully utilize cord blood to treat their illness? Can't find much information or receive patchy details? That shouldn't surprise me.

Cord blood contains hematopoietic stem cells, which may sounds very exciting. At this stage, the huge potential of stems cells remains very much in speculative stage. It is still a work in progress.

Perhaps the best methods of Scuttlebutt is to ask our very own pediatrics and Gynecologist located in Singapore. Would they strongly recommend it? Before you ask, do check that they are not affiliated to any private cord blood banks :)

AK71 said...

Hi Solace,

You are, as always, a strong voice of reason.

Thank you so much! :)

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