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Wilmar International

Sunday, January 3, 2010

A friend mentioned that he would want to buy some shares of Wilmar International because he is confident that a listing of its China-related operations in Hong Kong will take place and it is just a matter of time.

Wilmar's valuation looks rich to me compared to other palm oil companies like Golden Agriculture. Of course, Wilmar is not a pure palm oil play but most people associate it with crude palm oil. The stock market is not the best place to find rational behaviour, we know.

Let's do a TA. Similar to Noble's chart, the 20wMA pulled away rapidly from the 100wMA. The 20wMA flattened two weeks ago. Compared to Golden Agriculture, which is testing resistance, Wilmar is hugging the flattening 20wMA for dear life as volumes dwindled. If I were to do some crystal ball gazing, this chart shows what Noble's chart might look like in future. For anyone who is thinking of entering, I see $5.54 or so as a fair entry point. It is about a 15% correction from the closing price of $6.43 and it is also a natural candlestick resistance and support level. This is another counter not for the faint hearted.

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