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Are the blue chips singing the Blues?

Monday, February 8, 2010

No morning star formation for F&N.  In fact, price opened lower at the 200dMA, $3.80, made a half hearted attempt to rise only to close lower at $3.76.  Breaking the 200dMA is very bearish since it signals the end of a longer term uptrend.  The consolation?  The volume is much lower and MFI has entered the oversold region.  Is there no respite?  It certainly looks like there would be more downside.  Looking at the weekly chart, we see the 50wMA rising and looks set to forming a golden cross with the 100wMA at $3.60.  I might be tempted to buy some at that level then.

Keppel Corp shows relative strength compared to F&N even as the morning star formation failed to materialise.  Price did open and close higher compared to the previous session, almost forming a black hammer in the process.  Closing at $8.24, however, is under the 100dMA which is at $8.27.  This confirms that the 100dMA is now the immediate resistance.  20dMA and 50dMA have both completed their downward turns and seem determined to decline.  Dead crosses up ahead?  A look at the weekly chart shows that the price has been hugging the 20wMA for support in the past three months.  The MACD continues to decline and the jury is out on whether the 20wMA will continue to be a support.  If the 20wMA breaks, there is some way to fall.

No morning star either for SPH but it remains the strongest of the three blue chips here.  Price closed lower at $3.68 and formed a black hammer but not before touching a low of $3.65 to test the 100dMA.  So, is SPH a safe haven?  Nothing is safe if the bear comes back.  Looking at the candlestick supports and resistance, if SPH breaks its trendline support, it could sink rapidly to $3.40 which coincides with the rising 200dMA.  If that happens, I'm bringing out my warchest.

Related posts:
A tale of two blue chips: F&N and Keppel Corp
Is SPH the bluest of them all?

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