CapitaMalls Asia: A reversal signal.

When price touched a high of $2.05 per share on 9 Feb 2011 and declined to a low of $1.57 on 15 Mar 2011, the OBV declined rather sharply as well, suggesting heavy distribution.

However, as price declined from a high of $1.92 on 11 April 2011 to touch a low of $1.66 in the last session on 6 May 2011, the OBV declined much lesser and, in fact, the OBV is much higher compared to where it was on 9 Feb 2011. This, to me, suggests that some accumulation is happening and that smart money could have returned to the counter, quietly. In the last session, price closed at $1.69, forming a white spinning top, a reversal signal. It remains to be seen if the signal is a valid one.

All the momentum oscillators are suggesting that the counter is oversold. The MACD is declining in negative territory but we could see a rebound in price. In the event a rebound takes place, expect initial resistance at $1.75 and stronger resistance at $1.83 which is provided by the declining 100dMA.

Whether the 100dMA could be overcome is crucial in determining if the stock could move higher in price. That's for another blog post on another day, perhaps.