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CapitaMalls Asia: A sustainable reversal?

Monday, January 17, 2011

This counter formed a white spinning top today as it broke resistance at $1.95 to touch a high of $1.97, which is where the declining 50dMA is approximating. Of course, a spinning top is a sign of indecision and it was on the back of increased volume. It is not a strong bullish sign. The tug of war between bulls and bears is still significant here.


The uptrend which started on 20 Dec is still valid and the trendline support is at $1.89. With the 20dMA at $1.90, this is where we would find initial support in case of a pull back in price. This support should hold and if it does, we could be looking at an ascending triangle pattern. This would give me a target close to where the 100d and 200d MAs are at, approximating $2.08 and $2.10 currently.

OBV continues to climb, suggesting continuing accumulation. MACD has risen once more above the signal line and could be ready to cross into positive territory. The MFI and RSI are both rising after successfully testing 50% as support. Things are looking good here and I would accumulate on weakness.

Related post:
CapitaMalls Asia: $1.90 resistance turned support.

Golden Agriculture: Short term uptrend broken.

Saturday, January 15, 2011

The negative divergence between the rising share price and falling MACD which we have observed for weeks is showing its colors. Price broke support at 78.5c provided by the 20dMA on 10 Jan and, in the last session, fell to test support at 76c provided by the rising 50dMA.

Price falling below the 20dMA suggests that the shorter term uptrend could be over. Drawing a trendline support linking the lows of 8 Oct and 24 Nov verifies this as price closed below this support for the first time in months.


How low could the price fall to? No one can say for sure but drawing a trendline support linking the lows of 30 Sep and 8 Oct coincides with the rising 100dMA and, to me, this suggests a much stronger support at this level and would be a more ideal entry point. The 100dMA is currently at 68.5c.

Fundamentally, I believe that demand for Crude Palm Oil would remain strong with higher consumption in Asia. I would look out for a chance to accumulate on any sharp pullbacks.

Related post:
Golden Agriculture (3 Jan 11)


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