AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and First REIT.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT
I remember how this REIT suffered from weakness in price before it went CD and some who got their buy queues filled at 21.5c were worried instead of happy. I guess they should be happy now since they would be receiving the income distribution of 0.51c per unit on 15 March and saw how the REIT's unit price held firm in a sea of red as stocks were sold down this week. I am happy too. Unless there are definite signs from the technicals that things have turned bearish, buying more on weakness cannot be too far wrong.

Read: AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Worried?

FIRST REIT
This REIT broke its immediate support at 75c decisively today and on higher volume. Hitting a low of 73.5c before closing at 74c, we could see its price weaken further as the MFI looks set to form a lower low. Looking at the weekly chart, the longer term uptrend is intact but the rising 20wMA is approximating 72c and if selling pressure were to intensify, we could see 72c tested eventually.

Related post:
First REIT: Testing immediate support.

Capitaland: Bear is getting weaker?

Is the bear losing strength or just taking a breather? It could be interpreted as the bulls are getting stronger or the short sellers are simply covering their positions. Whatever the case may be, closing lower by 5c at $3.34 after touching a low of $3.30 means that the bears have again emerged the victors.

Volume is, once again, very high although it has been in decline for three sessions in a row. Selling is still very much alive.  Notice how the distance between the declining MACD and the signal line has widened. The MACD now approximates the low of 1 Dec 10. It does not seem likely that a higher low would form. The OBV suggests a continuation of intense distribution while the MFI and RSI are both deeper in oversold territories.

However, unless the low of July 2009 at $3.28 breaks, there is little incentive for short sellers to continue selling down the stock. For people who are thinking of cutting losses, the time for cutting losses could have come and gone. Remember that prices move down a river of hope. Cut loss when there is a rebound, not when price is testing supports.

Is AK71, therefore, hinting that the downward movement could be near its end? No, he is just wondering aloud which is something he is prone to do.

Related post:
Capitaland: Time to buy more?