First REIT: Climbing the wall.

First REIT's unit price rose and closed at 76c today. It seems to have hit a wall. Looking at the daily chart and the EMAs, it is easy to see why. The 100dEMA is at 76c. EMAs give greater weightage to more recent prices and are useful in identifying shorter term resistance and supports.

Although the +DI is rising strongly and has the advantage and although the ADX seems to have begun rising as well, RSI and Stochastics have gone into overbought territories while the MFI could face resistance as it approaches its 50% line.

So, although there is little downside risk, upside could be capped. If 76c could be overcome successfully, the next resistance level is at 77c, the high achieved in January 2011. This is followed by 78.5c which is resistance provided by the 200dEMA.

Sabana REIT: Turning positive.

The last time I wrote about Sabana REIT exclusively was on 4 April when I mentioned that a positive divergence was rather obvious. I also mentioned that "a significant resistance presented by the declining 20dMA at 94c would have to be cleared first." The declining 20dMA has flattened at 93.5c by now and, today, price closed at 94.5c.

For the first time in a very long time, we see the +DI having the advantage. The MACD continues to rise above the signal line in negative territory while the MFI suggests that the REIT is still oversold. The RSI and the Stochastics have both bounced off their respective 50% line, suggesting that there is some support for this REIT at the current price level. We could be seeing the end of basing activity.

If we look at the daily chart, we can estimate the neckline of a potential double bottom formation to be at 95c. If we take the low of 92c and project the 3c difference from 95c, we would get an upside target of 98c. This is, of course, if the pattern is a valid one. With the REIT's manager due to make the announcement on its maiden income distribution in a matter of days, there is reason to believe that we could see its unit price moving higher rather than lower.